中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Towards a verifiable, uncertainty-controlled assessment of the spatiotemporal dynamics of social vulnerability to flash floods

文献类型:期刊论文

作者He, Xinjun3,4; Fang, Yiping1,2,4; Wang, Baosheng3,4; Huang, Xueyuan3,4
刊名ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
出版日期2024-09-01
卷号166页码:20
关键词Flash floods Vulnerability Uncertainty Validation Spatiotemporal dynamics
ISSN号1470-160X
DOI10.1016/j.ecolind.2024.112323
英文摘要

While research on quantitative measures of vulnerability is increasing, current studies may be criticized for failing to consider the spatiotemporal dynamics of vulnerability, ignoring uncertainty in the assessment process, and lacking validation. Using the index-based method, this study quantitatively assesses the spatiotemporal dynamics of flash flood vulnerability in the Hengduan Mountain Areas (HMA) of the southeastern Tibetan Plateau. First, a vulnerability index system is constructed based on existing vulnerability assessment studies, and the uncertainty is controlled by introducing statistical and machine learning methods. Then, we explore the spatiotemporal change trend of vulnerability and the characteristics of spatiotemporal hotspots, and validate the vulnerability results with a spatial matching method based on the actual flash flood frequency and damage records. The results show that our method is effective in capturing the spatial and temporal patterns of flash flood vulnerability, and the validation shows that the assessment results can reflect the relationship between flash flood vulnerability and observed flash flood impacts. Our study highlights the importance of spatiotemporal dynamics, uncertainty control, and validation for quantitative vulnerability assessment, and proposes methods to achieve these goals. The spatiotemporal dynamics assessment of flash floods vulnerability in the HMA is an empirical application of our methods, showing the process and results of spatiotemporal vulnerability assessment. The study of spatiotemporal dynamics of flash flood vulnerability is of great significance for predicting the impacts of future flash floods, which is important for policy makers to plan flash flood prevention and response measures, reduce flash flood impacts, and improve resilience.

WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS ; NATURAL DISASTERS ; RISK ; ADAPTATION ; FRAMEWORK ; BENEFITS ; SCALE
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001265658400001
出版者ELSEVIER
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/58181]  
专题成都山地灾害与环境研究所_山区发展研究中心
通讯作者Fang, Yiping
作者单位1.CAS HEC, China Pakistan Joint Res Ctr Earth Sci, Islamabad 45320, Pakistan
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610299, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
He, Xinjun,Fang, Yiping,Wang, Baosheng,et al. Towards a verifiable, uncertainty-controlled assessment of the spatiotemporal dynamics of social vulnerability to flash floods[J]. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,2024,166:20.
APA He, Xinjun,Fang, Yiping,Wang, Baosheng,&Huang, Xueyuan.(2024).Towards a verifiable, uncertainty-controlled assessment of the spatiotemporal dynamics of social vulnerability to flash floods.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,166,20.
MLA He, Xinjun,et al."Towards a verifiable, uncertainty-controlled assessment of the spatiotemporal dynamics of social vulnerability to flash floods".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 166(2024):20.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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