Integrating SSPs and multi-model ensembles in exploring parameter relationships for vertical urban development using a 3D-UGM: A case study of Wuhan, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Huang, Xinxin1; Stouffs, Rudi2 |
| 刊名 | SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-08-15 |
| 卷号 | 109页码:105514 |
| 关键词 | Urban vertical growth Urban three-dimensional simulation Random forest Shared socioeconomic pathways |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105514 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | As global urbanization accelerates, it exacerbates sustainability challenges across environmental, economic, and social realms, underscoring the need for sophisticated urban planning models. Here, we introduce a novel 3D Urban Growth Model (3D-UGM) that uniquely integrates vertical structural data, enabling enhanced analysis and prediction of urban development patterns. Our model employs an innovative blend of analytical techniques and scenario-based forecasting, setting a new standard in the field. We report that our horizontal urban growth simulations yield a cell-level mean Kappa value of 0.607 and a pattern-level agreement of 88 %. Additionally, our vertical growth predictions, informed by random forest algorithms, achieve a testing R2 of 0.909 and an average Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.239. Projecting future urban growth under various Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), our model forecasts a potential increase of up to 20 % in vertical development under SSP3 compared to SSP1. These projections offer a detailed glimpse into the diverse potential urban landscapes under differing environmental and economic scenarios. Our research makes a critical contribution to urban planning literature, providing a robust, data-driven foundation that informs sustainable development strategies, crucial for managing the complexities of vertical growth in rapidly urbanizing areas worldwide. |
| WOS关键词 | CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; SIMULATION ; MODEL ; TOOL |
| WOS研究方向 | Construction & Building Technology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001265012400001 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/206135]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
| 通讯作者 | Stouffs, Rudi |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Natl Univ Singapore, Dept Architecture, Singapore 117566, Singapore |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Huang, Xinxin,Stouffs, Rudi. Integrating SSPs and multi-model ensembles in exploring parameter relationships for vertical urban development using a 3D-UGM: A case study of Wuhan, China[J]. SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY,2024,109:105514. |
| APA | Huang, Xinxin,&Stouffs, Rudi.(2024).Integrating SSPs and multi-model ensembles in exploring parameter relationships for vertical urban development using a 3D-UGM: A case study of Wuhan, China.SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY,109,105514. |
| MLA | Huang, Xinxin,et al."Integrating SSPs and multi-model ensembles in exploring parameter relationships for vertical urban development using a 3D-UGM: A case study of Wuhan, China".SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY 109(2024):105514. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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