Assessment of climate variability and trends in different physiographic zones of North Western Himalayas
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | ul Shafiq, Mifta2; ul Islam, Zahoor3; Tali, Javaid Ahmad4; Ahmed, Pervez3; Dimri, A. P.5; Mahmood, Rashid1 |
刊名 | THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
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出版日期 | 2024-04-13 |
页码 | 20 |
ISSN号 | 0177-798X |
DOI | 10.1007/s00704-024-04961-3 |
通讯作者 | ul Shafiq, Mifta(saabid9@gmail.com) |
英文摘要 | Himalaya - one of the pristine and ecologically fragile mountain ecosystem is highly vulnerable to any small changes in climatic system. Under changing climate conditions, assessing regional trends become more important owing to dependence of more than 1 billion people on Himalayas. To analyze the climatic trends and magnitude, this study utilized the long term meteorological data (1980-2022) for temperature and precipitation. Investigations were carried out for 11 meteorological stations located in different topographical zones of Jammu, Kashmir and Ladakh region. The non-parametric Mann-Kendall test was used for significance of trends in precipitation and temperature data on monthly, seasonal, and annual scales, while Sen's non-parametric estimator of the slope was used to estimate the magnitude of trend. For TMax, except Jammu plains (-0.018oC a- 1) all regions experienced increasing trend with annual rate of increase 0.018oC a- 1, 0.032oC a- 1 and 0.051oC a- 1 in Pir Panjal region, Kashmir valley and Ladakh region respectively. For annual TMin, all four geographical regions and individual stations have observed an increase. Ladakh region observed highest rate of increase (0.070oC a- 1) which was significant followed by Pir Panjal region (0.048oC a- 1), Kashmir valley (0.013oC a- 1) and the lowest rate was observed in Jammu Plains (0.006oC a- 1). Precipitation revealed a general decreasing trend with large inter annual variability. Seasonally, TMin has seen most significant changes across all topographical regions. Our results indicate that influence of Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) was more towards the Jammu plains and its impact reduced towards Pir Panjal and Kashmir valley with increasing influence of Western Disturbances (WDs). Jammu plains received 75.8% precipitation from ISM while Kashmir valley received 72.4% precipitation from WDs. Shift in climatic variables could have serious environmental and socio-economic implications which can alter the regional ecological stability. |
WOS关键词 | JAMMU-AND-KASHMIR ; LONG-TERM TRENDS ; NORTHWESTERN HIMALAYA ; AIR TEMPERATURES ; PRECIPITATION ; MODEL ; IMPACTS ; MONSOON ; EVENTS ; VALLEY |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001255276100004 |
出版者 | SPRINGER WIEN |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/206349] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | ul Shafiq, Mifta |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Govt Jammu & Kashmir, Govt Degree Coll Doda, Dept Geog, Dept Higher Educ, Srinagar 190001, India 3.Univ Kashmir, Dept Geog & Disaster Management, Srinagar 190006, India 4.Govt Degree Coll Tral, Dept Geog, Dept Higher Educ, Tral, Jammu & Kashmir, India 5.Jawaharlal Nehru Univ, Sch Environm Sci, New Delhi, India |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | ul Shafiq, Mifta,ul Islam, Zahoor,Tali, Javaid Ahmad,et al. Assessment of climate variability and trends in different physiographic zones of North Western Himalayas[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2024:20. |
APA | ul Shafiq, Mifta,ul Islam, Zahoor,Tali, Javaid Ahmad,Ahmed, Pervez,Dimri, A. P.,&Mahmood, Rashid.(2024).Assessment of climate variability and trends in different physiographic zones of North Western Himalayas.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,20. |
MLA | ul Shafiq, Mifta,et al."Assessment of climate variability and trends in different physiographic zones of North Western Himalayas".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY (2024):20. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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