Assessing typhoon disaster mitigation capacity and its uncertainty analysis in Hainan, China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Liu, Fangtian1,2,3; Xu, Erqi1; Zhang, Hongqi1 |
| 刊名 | NATURAL HAZARDS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-07-20 |
| 卷号 | N/A |
| 关键词 | Mitigation capacity Typhoon Uncertainty Indicators-based approach |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11069-024-06509-0 |
| 产权排序 | 3 |
| 文献子类 | Article ; Early Access |
| 英文摘要 | Natural disasters occur frequently worldwide, causing serious harm to people, resources, and the environment. The disaster mitigation capacity is very important in reducing disaster-caused losses and in informing natural disaster prevention and mitigation plans. However, the disaster mitigation capacity frameworks in recent studies are inconsistent and lack the careful consideration of natural disaster occurrence process, and it remains unclear to what extent the model parameters may affect the robustness of assessment results. To solve this problem, with typhoons as an example, an assessment framework of typhoon disaster mitigation capacity (TDMC) based on the entire process of disaster prevention-resistance-rescue was developed in this study. The TDMC framework was applied in Hainan, China, as a case study, and the associated uncertainty was assessed by analyzing indicator selection and weighting and synthesis methods. The TDMC was very high in Haikou and Sanya but very low in Lingao, Ledong, and Dongfang. Iterative sensitivity analysis of the indicators revealed that the removal of different indicators had little effect on the percentage change in average TDMC of Hainan. The sensitive indicators were warning systems, emergency shelters, and insurance, suggesting that specific strategies for those indicators could improve regional TDMC. The assessment results with different indicator weighting and synthesis methods were generally robust, especially in counties with very low or high TDMC. However, the counties with medium TDMC showed higher sensitivity, which led to changes in TDMC indices. Assessments were more sensitive to changes in weighting method than to changes in synthesis method. This study demonstrated the importance of quantifying uncertainties in assessment model parameters to provide credible TDMC information and to further the effective design of disaster prevention and mitigation strategies. |
| WOS关键词 | TROPICAL CYCLONE RISKS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ADAPTIVE CAPACITY ; SOCIAL VULNERABILITY ; SPATIAL ASSESSMENT ; INDEX ; CONSTRUCTION ; IMPACT ; ROBUSTNESS ; INDICATORS |
| WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001272739100003 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/206047]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, Erqi |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.Hebei Univ Econ & Business, Sch Publ Adm, Shijiazhuang 050061, Peoples R China 3.Hebei Collaborat Innovat Ctr Urban rural Integrate, Shijiazhuang 050061, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Fangtian,Xu, Erqi,Zhang, Hongqi. Assessing typhoon disaster mitigation capacity and its uncertainty analysis in Hainan, China[J]. NATURAL HAZARDS,2024,N/A. |
| APA | Liu, Fangtian,Xu, Erqi,&Zhang, Hongqi.(2024).Assessing typhoon disaster mitigation capacity and its uncertainty analysis in Hainan, China.NATURAL HAZARDS,N/A. |
| MLA | Liu, Fangtian,et al."Assessing typhoon disaster mitigation capacity and its uncertainty analysis in Hainan, China".NATURAL HAZARDS N/A(2024). |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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