Risk Assessment of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in China Based on Hazard Risk Theory
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Xu, Jin2; Xue, Xinyue2; Yang, Bo1; Wang, Wen5; Wu, Wenxiang4; Ji, Xiaodong2,3 |
| 刊名 | APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-06-01 |
| 卷号 | 14期号:12页码:17 |
| 关键词 | tropical cyclone hazard assessment comprehensive evaluation geographic information system (GIS) risk assessment |
| DOI | 10.3390/app14125126 |
| 英文摘要 | As a frequent hazard, tropical cyclones have a great impact on the social and economic development of China, which is close to the origin of tropical cyclones in the western Pacific Ocean. The primary objective of this study was to construct a comprehensive risk assessment model for tropical cyclone hazards based on natural influencing factors, informing recommendations for hazard prevention and mitigation in affected regions. This research focused on tropical cyclones that made landfall in mainland China and Hainan from 1949 to 2023, utilizing hazard risk theory and classical extreme value theory. The wind speed and rainfall data during the peak cyclone periods (June to October) from 1997 to 2021 gathered from various meteorological stations, as well as altitude and vegetation cover data, were examined. Hierarchical analysis and ArcGIS spatial analysis methods were employed to study the characteristics of the spatiotemporal distribution of landfalling tropical cyclones and the comprehensive risk of tropical cyclone hazards, and the regions of China were delineated according to these methods. The results showed that, during the period from 1949 to 2023, the overall number of landfalling tropical cyclones decreased in a fluctuating manner, while the intensity of the cyclones increased. Furthermore, severe typhoons tended to occur more frequently in the summer than autumn with time, intensifying the challenge to resist short-term hazards. Moreover, the hazard-causing factors in areas affected by tropical cyclones displayed an increasing trend from north to south and from west to east. In detail, the regions sensitive to natural hazards were primarily located in the central part of Liaoning province, Tianjin, central and eastern Hebei province, Shandong province, eastern Henan province, central and northern Anhui province, Jiangsu province, and Shanghai, which are characterized by flat terrain and relatively low vegetation cover. Overall, the comprehensive risk of tropical cyclone hazards showed a geographical distribution that decreases from south to north and from east to west, with coastal cities in provinces such as Hainan, Guangdong, Guangxi, Fujian, and Zhejiang-including Haikou, Zhanjiang, Xiamen, Beihai, and Taizhou-exhibiting the highest levels of risk. |
| 资助项目 | Innovation Research Team Project of Natural Science Foundation of Hainan Province[422CXTD515] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[31570708] |
| WOS研究方向 | Chemistry ; Engineering ; Materials Science ; Physics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001254718500001 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 资助机构 | Innovation Research Team Project of Natural Science Foundation of Hainan Province ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/206242]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Ji, Xiaodong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Sanya Univ, Zhai Mingguo Academician Work Stn, Sanya 572022, Peoples R China 2.Beijing Forestry Univ, Sch Soil & Water Conservat, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 3.Beijing Forestry Univ, Key Lab, State Forestry Adm Soil & Water Conservat, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 5.Sanya Univ, Sch Management, Sanya 572022, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xu, Jin,Xue, Xinyue,Yang, Bo,et al. Risk Assessment of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in China Based on Hazard Risk Theory[J]. APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL,2024,14(12):17. |
| APA | Xu, Jin,Xue, Xinyue,Yang, Bo,Wang, Wen,Wu, Wenxiang,&Ji, Xiaodong.(2024).Risk Assessment of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in China Based on Hazard Risk Theory.APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL,14(12),17. |
| MLA | Xu, Jin,et al."Risk Assessment of Landfalling Tropical Cyclones in China Based on Hazard Risk Theory".APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL 14.12(2024):17. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。