Future urban ecological land transition and its implications for high-heat exposure in China
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Feng, Rundong1,3; Liu, Shenghe3; Wang, Fuyuan3; Wang, Kaiyong3; Zhengchen, Rouyu1,3; Wang, Disheng2 |
刊名 | SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY
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出版日期 | 2024-09-15 |
卷号 | 111页码:105590 |
关键词 | Urban ecological land High-heat exposure Future projection Landscape evolution pattern China |
DOI | 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105590 |
产权排序 | 1 |
文献子类 | Article |
英文摘要 | Urban ecological land (UEL) is an important nature-based solution for mitigating human exposure to extreme heat (i.e., high -heat exposure, HHE), but the impacts of future UEL transition remain unclear. This study developed a high spatial -temporal resolution dataset (30 m) of urban land cover in China during the 21st century under the shared socioeconomic pathway and the representative concentration pathway (SSP-RCP) to quantify the contribution of UEL transition to HHE. Results showed that UEL transitions will influence 0.12 -0.26 degrees C of the HHE from 2021 to 2100 and is the dominant driver in 10.2 -22.8 % of cities (including 95.1 million to 181.2 million people in 2100), with substantial regional disparities. Moreover, UEL landscape pattern is a more important factor than area. Specifically, the UEL evolution pattern will dominate the exposure of 8.02 to 10.77 million people to extreme heat within the urban cores (i.e., predominant urban areas) in the SSP1-2.6 and SSP24.5 scenarios, especially in the eastern cities. Under the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, the UEL evolution pattern will dominate the exposure of 2.44 to 5.34 million people to extreme heat on the expansion surfaces (i.e., areas transitioning from rural to urban), especially in the western cities. The optimization of UEL landscape patterns should be a top priority as an urban heat adaptation strategy to maximize urban resilience to climate change. |
WOS关键词 | SCENARIOS ; CLASSIFICATION ; TEMPERATURE ; PROJECTIONS ; RESOLUTION ; PRODUCT ; GREEN |
WOS研究方向 | Construction & Building Technology ; Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001258863300001 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/206104] ![]() |
专题 | 区域可持续发展分析与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
通讯作者 | Feng, Rundong |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.Hong Kong Metropolitan Univ, Hong Kong 999077, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Feng, Rundong,Liu, Shenghe,Wang, Fuyuan,et al. Future urban ecological land transition and its implications for high-heat exposure in China[J]. SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY,2024,111:105590. |
APA | Feng, Rundong,Liu, Shenghe,Wang, Fuyuan,Wang, Kaiyong,Zhengchen, Rouyu,&Wang, Disheng.(2024).Future urban ecological land transition and its implications for high-heat exposure in China.SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY,111,105590. |
MLA | Feng, Rundong,et al."Future urban ecological land transition and its implications for high-heat exposure in China".SUSTAINABLE CITIES AND SOCIETY 111(2024):105590. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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