The Impact of Factor Price Change on China's Cotton Production Pattern Evolution: Mediation and Spillover Effects
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, Xuewei2,3; Zhou, Xiqing4; Liu, Haimeng3; Zhang, Jinghao2; Zhang, Jingde2; Wei, Suhao1 |
| 刊名 | AGRICULTURE-BASEL
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-07-01 |
| 卷号 | 14期号:7页码:1145 |
| 关键词 | factor price change mechanical substitution difficulty cotton production pattern spatial spillover effect |
| DOI | 10.3390/agriculture14071145 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Cotton is an important agricultural crop and strategic resource. China is currently the country with the largest global cotton production and consumption, but few studies have systematically analyzed the dynamic relationship between factor price change (FPC) and cotton production pattern evolution (CPPE). Based on provincial panel data from the main cotton planting areas from 1985 to 2021, this paper used spatial econometric models to empirically analyze the impact of FPC including labor price, production material cost, and mechanical cost on CPPE from the perspective of mechanical substitution difficulty. The findings are that (1) FPC significantly affected CPPE, specifically the rise of labor price induced the demand for mechanical substitution, resulting in a significant cotton agglomeration effect; (2) spatial econometric analysis found that FPC had a significant spatial spillover effect on CPPE in adjacent regions; and (3) the transfer analysis found that higher mechanical substitution difficulty exerted an inhibitory effect on cotton planting, leading to a gradual shift of the main cotton planting areas from the Yangtze River Basin and Yellow River Basin with high labor prices to the Northwest Inland region with lower labor prices. Updating the production technology and improving the efficiency of cotton specialization are effective strategies. The results are valuable for policy making related to the development of China's cotton industry. |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; YIELD ; INDUSTRY ; FOOTPRINT ; XINJIANG |
| WOS研究方向 | Agriculture |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001276616600001 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/206942]  |
| 专题 | 区域可持续发展分析与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Liu, Haimeng; Zhang, Jingde |
| 作者单位 | 1.Jilin Univ, Sch Publ Adm, Changchun 130103, Peoples R China 2.Inner Mongolia Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Hohhot 010020, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 4.Ocean Univ China, Sch Econ, Qingdao 266100, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Xuewei,Zhou, Xiqing,Liu, Haimeng,et al. The Impact of Factor Price Change on China's Cotton Production Pattern Evolution: Mediation and Spillover Effects[J]. AGRICULTURE-BASEL,2024,14(7):1145. |
| APA | Zhang, Xuewei,Zhou, Xiqing,Liu, Haimeng,Zhang, Jinghao,Zhang, Jingde,&Wei, Suhao.(2024).The Impact of Factor Price Change on China's Cotton Production Pattern Evolution: Mediation and Spillover Effects.AGRICULTURE-BASEL,14(7),1145. |
| MLA | Zhang, Xuewei,et al."The Impact of Factor Price Change on China's Cotton Production Pattern Evolution: Mediation and Spillover Effects".AGRICULTURE-BASEL 14.7(2024):1145. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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