Critical environmental factors affecting mountain geohazards in a warming climate in Southwest China
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Xu, Xiao-Ming; Cui, Peng2; Zhang, Xue-Qin |
刊名 | ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
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出版日期 | 2024-08-01 |
卷号 | 15期号:4页码:695 |
关键词 | Mountain geohazards Environmental factors Climate change GeoDetector Southwest China |
DOI | 10.1016/j.accre.2024.07.006 |
产权排序 | 1 |
文献子类 | Article |
英文摘要 | Environmental factors are essential input variables for susceptibility assessment models of mountain geohazards. However, the existing literature provides a limited understanding of the relative contribution of these factors to the occurrence of geohazards with a warming climate, posing tremendous challenges for risk management in mountainous areas. Ya'an city is susceptible to hazards because of its steep terrain, abundant precipitation and active seismic activity. In this regard, we utilise the GeoDetector model to extract critical environmental factors affecting the spatial patterns of mountain geohazards (i.e., landslide, debris flow and rockfall) in Southwest China. The analysis indicates that the factors with the highest explanatory power for the spatial distribution of landslides, debris flows, and rockfalls are soil property, extreme precipitation and extreme temperature, respectively. Notably, we revealed the synergistic effects among factors given their larger q-value than individual ones. We further explored the responses of mountain geohazards to climate change, including the rising temperature and precipitation, because the frequent occurrence of mountain geohazards is closely related to a warming climate. The variation in snow water equivalent caused by antecedent snowfall and snowdrifts acts as a crucial indicator for geohazards, highlighting the significance of snow and wind observations in meteorological nowcasting and disaster prewarning. We disclose the phenomenon of the geohazard hysteresis to the precipitation peak resulting from the top-down (i.e., precipitation-runoff and surface-deep soil moisture) peak shifts. Our work is expected to enhance the precision of susceptibility assessment models and the reliability of short-term forecasts for mountain geohazards. |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE CHANGES ; SNOW SUBLIMATION ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; EARTHQUAKE ; LANDSLIDES ; RAINFALL ; SICHUAN ; FUTURE |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001310002500001 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/207910] ![]() |
专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci & Higher Educ Commiss, China Pakistan Joint Res Ctr Earth Sci, Islamabad 45320, Pakistan 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xu, Xiao-Ming,Cui, Peng,Zhang, Xue-Qin. Critical environmental factors affecting mountain geohazards in a warming climate in Southwest China[J]. ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,2024,15(4):695. |
APA | Xu, Xiao-Ming,Cui, Peng,&Zhang, Xue-Qin.(2024).Critical environmental factors affecting mountain geohazards in a warming climate in Southwest China.ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,15(4),695. |
MLA | Xu, Xiao-Ming,et al."Critical environmental factors affecting mountain geohazards in a warming climate in Southwest China".ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH 15.4(2024):695. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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