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  4. 中科院海岸带环境过程与生态修复重点实验室
Compound extreme inundation risk of coastal wetlands caused by climate change and anthropogenic activities in the Yellow River Delta, China

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Wang, Xiao-Li1,8; Feng, Ai-Qing7; Hou, Xi -Yong1,8; Chao, Qing-Chen7; Song, Bai-Yuan6; Wang, Qi-Guang4; Liu, Yu -Bin5; Xu, He1,3; Zhang, Yu-Xin1,8; Li, Dong1,8
刊名ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
出版日期2024-02-01
卷号15期号:1页码:134-147
关键词Climate change Anthropogenic activities Compound extreme risk Coastal wetlands Yellow River Delta
ISSN号1674-9278
DOI10.1016/j.accre.2024.01.010
通讯作者Feng, Ai-Qing(fengaq@cma.gov.cn)
英文摘要The coastal wetlands of the Yellow River Delta (YRD) in China are crucial for their valuable resources, environmental significance, and economic contributions. However, these wetlands are also vulnerable to the dual threats of climate change and human disturbances. Despite substantial attention to the historical shifts in YRD's coastal wetlands, uncertainties remain regarding their future trajectory in the face of compound risks from climate change and anthropogenic activities. Based on a range of remote sensing data sources, this study undertakes a comprehensive investigation into the evolution of YRD's coastal wetlands between 2000 and 2020. Subsequently, the potential fate of coastal wetlands is thoroughly analyzed through the Land Use/Cover Change (LUCC) simulation using System Dynamic -Future Land Use Simulation (SD-FLUS) model and the extreme water levels projection integrated future sea -level rise, storm surge, and astronomical high tide in 2030, 2050, and 2100 under scenarios of SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5. Results revealed that YRD's coastal wetlands underwent a marked reduction, shrinking by 1688.72 km2 from 2000 to 2020. This decline was mostly attributed to the substantial expansion in the areas of artificial wetlands (increasing by 823.78 km2), construction land (increasing by 767.71 km2), and shallow water (increasing by 274.58 km2). Looking ahead to 2030-2100, the fate of coastal wetlands appears to diverge based on different scenarios. Under the SSP1-2.6 scenario, the area of coastal wetland is projected to experience considerable growth. In contrast, the SSP5-8.5 scenario anticipates a notable decrease in coastal wetlands. Relative to the inundated area suffered from the current extreme water levels, the study projects a decrease of 6.8%-10.6% in submerged coastal wetlands by 2030 and 9.4%-18.2% by 2050 across all scenarios. In 2100, these percentages are projected to decrease by 0.4 % (SSP2-4.5) and 27.1% (SSP5-8.5), but increase by 35.7% (SSP1-2.6). Results suggest that coastal wetlands in the YRD will face a serious compound risk from climate change and intensified human activities in the future, with climate change being the dominant factor. More efficient and forward -looking measures must be implemented to prioritize the conservation and management of coastal wetland ecosystems to address the challenges, especially those posed by climate change.
WOS关键词SEA-LEVEL RISE ; SALT-MARSH ; LAND-USE ; IMPACTS ; SIMULATION ; ADAPTATION ; LANDSCAPES ; SUBSIDENCE ; SCENARIOS ; EVOLUTION
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001189175800001
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Seed project of Yantai Institute of Coastal Zone Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Special Project for Compilation of the Fourth National Assessment Report on Climate Change of the Ministry of Science and Technology ; Youth Open Project of China Meteorological Administration Key Laboratory for Climate Prediction Studies
源URL[http://ir.yic.ac.cn/handle/133337/36180]  
专题烟台海岸带研究所_中科院海岸带环境过程与生态修复重点实验室
烟台海岸带研究所_海岸带信息集成与综合管理实验室
通讯作者Feng, Ai-Qing
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, CAS Key Lab Coastal Environm Proc & Ecol Remediat, Yantai Inst Coastal Zone Res, Yantai 264003, Peoples R China
2.Zhejiang Ocean Univ, Marine Sci & Technol Coll, Zhoushan 316022, Peoples R China
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
4.China Meteorol Adm, Training Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
5.Qilu Normal Univ, Sch Geog & Tourism, Jinan 250200, Peoples R China
6.Tongji Urban Planning Design Res Inst, Shanghai 200092, Peoples R China
7.Natl Climate Ctr, China Meteorol Adm, Key Lab Climate Predict Studies, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
8.Shandong Key Lab Coastal Environm Proc, Yantai 264003, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Wang, Xiao-Li,Feng, Ai-Qing,Hou, Xi -Yong,et al. Compound extreme inundation risk of coastal wetlands caused by climate change and anthropogenic activities in the Yellow River Delta, China[J]. ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,2024,15(1):134-147.
APA Wang, Xiao-Li.,Feng, Ai-Qing.,Hou, Xi -Yong.,Chao, Qing-Chen.,Song, Bai-Yuan.,...&Guo, Yu.(2024).Compound extreme inundation risk of coastal wetlands caused by climate change and anthropogenic activities in the Yellow River Delta, China.ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,15(1),134-147.
MLA Wang, Xiao-Li,et al."Compound extreme inundation risk of coastal wetlands caused by climate change and anthropogenic activities in the Yellow River Delta, China".ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH 15.1(2024):134-147.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：烟台海岸带研究所

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