Can combined wind and solar power meet the increased electricity load on heatwave days in China after the carbon emission peak? A case study in southern hebei
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Bai, Jie2; Zhao, Mingxin2; Qin, Xiaohui2; Xu, Yanping2; Liu, Yang1 |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
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出版日期 | 2024-11-01 |
卷号 | 478页码:143828 |
关键词 | Wind power Photovoltaic Electricity load Heatwave |
DOI | 10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.143828 |
产权排序 | 2 |
英文摘要 | Wind and photovoltaic (PV) power are the fastest-growing renewable energy sources; however, they are vulnerable to weather extremes. In the context of global warming, the frequency of extreme weather events, particularly heatwaves (HW), is anticipated to increase. Compared to normal summer days, HW days not only cause a rise in electricity demand but also exhibit a complementary growth in wind/PV generation. Therefore, determining whether the increase in wind/PV generation on HW days can meet the corresponding surge in electricity load is pivotal for replacing fossil fuel-based electricity. To address this question, this study conducts a case study for southern Hebei Province, which has the highest combined wind/PV installations in China, for the period 2031-2040 under the scenario that China will achieve its carbon peak (2030) and carbon neutrality goals as planned. We use recently developed load and wind power models and calibrate a boosting ensemble learning model to simulate PV generation. The results reveal that the total increase in wind/PV generation on HW days can fully meet the total increase in electricity consumption starting in 2039. However, due to the uneven distribution of wind/PV generation and load changes throughout the HW days, 9 GWh of energy storage capacity is required to ensure electricity supply in the early morning hours. Under China's climate change adaptation strategy, Hebei Province can harness wind/PV energy to address peak load demands during HW conditions and initiate climate-resilient urban development pilot projects. |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ENERGY ; IMPACTS ; GROWTH ; LEVEL |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001336132900001 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/208195] ![]() |
专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
通讯作者 | Liu, Yang |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 2.China Elect Power Res Inst Co Ltd, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bai, Jie,Zhao, Mingxin,Qin, Xiaohui,et al. Can combined wind and solar power meet the increased electricity load on heatwave days in China after the carbon emission peak? A case study in southern hebei[J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,2024,478:143828. |
APA | Bai, Jie,Zhao, Mingxin,Qin, Xiaohui,Xu, Yanping,&Liu, Yang.(2024).Can combined wind and solar power meet the increased electricity load on heatwave days in China after the carbon emission peak? A case study in southern hebei.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,478,143828. |
MLA | Bai, Jie,et al."Can combined wind and solar power meet the increased electricity load on heatwave days in China after the carbon emission peak? A case study in southern hebei".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 478(2024):143828. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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