Detection and Attribution of Changes in Precipitation Extremes in China and Its Different Climate Zones
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Chen, Wenhui5,6; Cui, Huijuan5,6; Zwiers, Francis W.3,4; Li, Chao1,2; Zheng, Jingyun5,6 |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
![]() |
出版日期 | 2024-10-01 |
卷号 | 37期号:20页码:5373-5385 |
关键词 | Precipitation Anthropogenic effects/forcing Climate change Climate models Trends |
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0770.1 |
产权排序 | 1 |
英文摘要 | Based on the observations and the phase 6 of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) multi- model simulations, we conducted a detection and attribution analysis for the observed changes in intensity and frequency indices of extreme precipitation during 1961-2014 over the whole of China and within distinct climate regions across the country. A space-time analysis is simultaneously applied in detection so that spatial structure on the signals is considered. Results show that the CMIP6 models can simulate the observed general increases of extreme precipitation indices during the historical period except for the drying trends from southwestern to northeastern China. The anthropogenic (ANT) signal is detectable and attributable to the observed increase of extreme precipitation over China, with human-induced greenhouse gas (GHG) increases being the dominant contributor. Additionally, we also detected the ANT and GHG signals in China's temperate continental, subtropical-tropical monsoon, and plateau mountain climate zones, demonstrating the role of human activity in historical extreme precipitation changes on much smaller spatial scales. |
WOS关键词 | INTENSE PRECIPITATION ; HEAVY PRECIPITATION ; DAILY TEMPERATURE ; PART I ; MONSOON ; INDEXES ; TRENDS |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001336204800001 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/208213] ![]() |
专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
通讯作者 | Cui, Huijuan |
作者单位 | 1.East China Normal Univ, Sch Geog Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China 2.East China Normal Univ, Key Lab Geog Informat Sci, Minist Educ, Shanghai, Peoples R China 3.Zwiers, Francis W.] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteorol, Minist Educ, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, Nanjing, Peoples R China 4.Zwiers, Francis W.] Univ Victoria, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, Victoria, BC, Canada 5.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Patterns & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen, Wenhui,Cui, Huijuan,Zwiers, Francis W.,et al. Detection and Attribution of Changes in Precipitation Extremes in China and Its Different Climate Zones[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2024,37(20):5373-5385. |
APA | Chen, Wenhui,Cui, Huijuan,Zwiers, Francis W.,Li, Chao,&Zheng, Jingyun.(2024).Detection and Attribution of Changes in Precipitation Extremes in China and Its Different Climate Zones.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,37(20),5373-5385. |
MLA | Chen, Wenhui,et al."Detection and Attribution of Changes in Precipitation Extremes in China and Its Different Climate Zones".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 37.20(2024):5373-5385. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。