Mapping development potential and priority zones for utility-scale photovoltaic on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Yang, Hua1,2; Xu, Yong1,2; Zhou, Kan1,2; Li, Jiuyi1,2 |
刊名 | RENEWABLE ENERGY
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出版日期 | 2024-12-01 |
卷号 | 237页码:121546 |
关键词 | Renewable energy Geographical potential Technical potential Bayesian Best-Worst method Priority zones Qinghai-Tibet Plateau |
DOI | 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121546 |
产权排序 | 1 |
英文摘要 | Sustainable renewable energy is a critical goal of the 2030 Sustainable Development Agenda. The scientific and rational development of solar power in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) is vital for China's carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals. However, more accurate, high spatial resolution assessments are needed to evaluate the utility-scale photovoltaic (PV) development potential on the QTP. To address this, we integrated geographical and technical potentials into a unified framework for assessing PV development potential. Using the spatial multi-criteria decision analysis technique, supported by the Bayesian Best-Worst method, we generated a 30-m suitability map for assessing geographical and technical potentials, along with priority zones. We found that approximately 35.22 % of the study area is suitable for utility-scale PV development, mainly concentrated in the Qaidam Basin in Qinghai and the northern Tibet Plateau in Xizang. The estimated PV technical potential for highly suitable and suitable classes is approximately 42.34 million GWh/a, which is equivalent to reduction of approximately 31.43 billion t/a of carbon emissions. We also formulated four priority development strategies using a spatially explicit model to meet the urgent 2030 target for utility-scale PV installations. Moreover, validation of existing PV projects and sensitivity analysis were conducted, confirming the accuracy and robustness of the results. This study provides practical guidance for informed decision-making by the government, investors, and stakeholders. |
WOS关键词 | SOLAR-ENERGY ; POWER-GENERATION ; WIND ; SUITABILITY ; PLANTS ; MCDM |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001333776400001 |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/208186] ![]() |
专题 | 区域可持续发展分析与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
通讯作者 | Xu, Yong |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, 11A,Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang, Hua,Xu, Yong,Zhou, Kan,et al. Mapping development potential and priority zones for utility-scale photovoltaic on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY,2024,237:121546. |
APA | Yang, Hua,Xu, Yong,Zhou, Kan,&Li, Jiuyi.(2024).Mapping development potential and priority zones for utility-scale photovoltaic on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.RENEWABLE ENERGY,237,121546. |
MLA | Yang, Hua,et al."Mapping development potential and priority zones for utility-scale photovoltaic on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau".RENEWABLE ENERGY 237(2024):121546. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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