中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
A novel framework for debris flow susceptibility assessment considering the uncertainty of sample selection

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Yang, Can3,4; Wang, Jiao2,4; Zhang, Guotao1
刊名GEOMATICS NATURAL HAZARDS & RISK
出版日期2024-12-31
卷号15期号:1页码:34
关键词Debris flow susceptibility non-debris flow sample uncertainty analysis probability distribution kernel density estimation
ISSN号1947-5705
DOI10.1080/19475705.2024.2425732
英文摘要

The uncertainty arising from random sampling of non-debris flow samples significantly impacts the accuracy of debris flow susceptibility assessments (DFSA). This study introduces a novel uncertainty elimination method, Kernel Density Estimation (KDE), and compares it with Mean and Maximum Probability Analysis (MPA) methods. Furthermore, we investigate the responses of four commonly used machine learning models to sampling uncertainty, comparing two structurally similar models (Random Forest (RF) and Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT)) with two structurally different models (Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP)). The results indicate that the application of these uncertainty elimination methods can significantly enhance AUC values and zoning accuracy, with the KDE method outperforming the others. Specifically, the AUC values based on KDE for RF, ERT, SVM, and MLP are 0.995, 0.999, 0.999, and 0.853, respectively. The corresponding zoning accuracy for these models is 1.00, 1.00, 1.00, and 0.78, respectively. The study further reveals that the responses to sampling uncertainty vary by model architecture: RF, ERT, and SVM typically exhibit bimodal normal distributions, while the MLP model shows a unimodal distribution. Additionally, MLP is more sensitive to variations in negative samples, whereas RF and ERT are less affected due to the ensemble structure.

WOS关键词PREDICTION ; UNIT ; MASS
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China[42101088] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[U20A20112] ; Key S&D Program of Tibet Autonomous Region[XZ202201ZY0011G]
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001353075800001
出版者TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; Key S&D Program of Tibet Autonomous Region
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/58514]  
专题中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所
通讯作者Wang, Jiao
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.China Pakistan Joint Res Ctr Earth Sci CAS HEC, Islamabad, Pakistan
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Guiyang, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Key Lab Mt Surface Proc & Hazards, Chengdu, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yang, Can,Wang, Jiao,Zhang, Guotao. A novel framework for debris flow susceptibility assessment considering the uncertainty of sample selection[J]. GEOMATICS NATURAL HAZARDS & RISK,2024,15(1):34.
APA Yang, Can,Wang, Jiao,&Zhang, Guotao.(2024).A novel framework for debris flow susceptibility assessment considering the uncertainty of sample selection.GEOMATICS NATURAL HAZARDS & RISK,15(1),34.
MLA Yang, Can,et al."A novel framework for debris flow susceptibility assessment considering the uncertainty of sample selection".GEOMATICS NATURAL HAZARDS & RISK 15.1(2024):34.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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