中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Multiple-model based prediction of weekly discharge of the Brahmaputra-Jamuna by assimilating antecedent hydrological regime

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Rahim, Md. Abdur3,4,5; Liu, Shuang5; Hu, Kaiheng4,5; Li, Hao4,5; Abedin, Md. Anwarul2; Akter, Fatima1
刊名GEOCARTO INTERNATIONAL
出版日期2024
卷号39期号:1页码:25
关键词Discharge prediction ERA5 rainfall antecedent discharge machine learning ensemble model Brahmaputra-Jamuna
ISSN号1010-6049
DOI10.1080/10106049.2024.2413551
英文摘要

In hydrology, accurate predictions and monitoring of river discharge are critical for river engineering, flood mitigation, water resource management and agricultural purposes. The Brahmaputra-Jamuna in Bangladesh, one of the highest discharge rivers in South Asia, is fundamental to the region's socio-economic structure and a major driver of flooding. Hence, predicting discharge in this river is crucial for managing water resources, protecting infrastructures and minimizing flood risks. In this study, four machine learning models, namely, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Gradient Boosting Regression Tree (GBRT), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) and their ensemble model were employed for weekly river discharge (Qt) prediction at Bahadurabad Transit. Weekly observed discharge and ERA5 reanalysis rainfall data with lag times from 1976 to 2022 were used for model calibration and validation. Various graphical and statistical evaluation metrics were employed to assess the model's performance. The findings indicate Rt, Rt-1, Qt-1 is the most effective inputs in predicting discharge (r = 0.92). Individual and ensemble models have a very good performance (R2, NSE: 0.85 to 0.92), and the ensemble model outperforms RF by 4.55%, SVM by 8.24%, GBRT by 3.37% and XGB by 2.22%. For peak discharge simulation, the ensemble model shows the best performance (R2 = 0.94, NSE = 0.94, RMSE = 4013.11 m3/s and MAE = 2843.60 m3/s). The reliability analysis verified the ensemble's superiority. The models in this study were efficient, adaptable and applicable for river discharge prediction in the Brahmaputra-Jamuna and other river gauge stations.

WOS关键词SUSPENDED SEDIMENT LOAD ; TIME-SERIES ; RIVER ; STREAMFLOW ; RESERVOIR ; FLOODS
资助项目Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program[2019QZKK0902] ; Key R&D Program of Tibet Autonomous Region[XZ202301ZY0039G] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) project[42305178] ; National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project 'Earth System Numerical Simulation Facility' (EarthLab)
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Remote Sensing ; Imaging Science & Photographic Technology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001329445600001
出版者TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
资助机构Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program ; Key R&D Program of Tibet Autonomous Region ; National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) project ; National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project 'Earth System Numerical Simulation Facility' (EarthLab)
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/58464]  
专题成都山地灾害与环境研究所_山地灾害与地表过程重点实验室
通讯作者Hu, Kaiheng
作者单位1.Univ Dhaka, Dept Meteorol, Dhaka, Bangladesh
2.Bangladesh Agr Univ, Dept Soil Sci, Lab Environm & Sustainable Dev, Mymensingh, Bangladesh
3.Patuakhali Sci & Technol Univ, Dept Disaster Resilience & Engn, Dumki, Bangladesh
4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, State Key Lab Mt Hazards & Engn Resilience, Chengdu, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Rahim, Md. Abdur,Liu, Shuang,Hu, Kaiheng,et al. Multiple-model based prediction of weekly discharge of the Brahmaputra-Jamuna by assimilating antecedent hydrological regime[J]. GEOCARTO INTERNATIONAL,2024,39(1):25.
APA Rahim, Md. Abdur,Liu, Shuang,Hu, Kaiheng,Li, Hao,Abedin, Md. Anwarul,&Akter, Fatima.(2024).Multiple-model based prediction of weekly discharge of the Brahmaputra-Jamuna by assimilating antecedent hydrological regime.GEOCARTO INTERNATIONAL,39(1),25.
MLA Rahim, Md. Abdur,et al."Multiple-model based prediction of weekly discharge of the Brahmaputra-Jamuna by assimilating antecedent hydrological regime".GEOCARTO INTERNATIONAL 39.1(2024):25.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。