Influence of vegetation phenological carryover effects on plant autumn phenology under climate change
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yuan, Huanhuan1; Yan, Jiabao1; Liu, Ying2; Peng, Jie3; Wang, Xiaoyue4 |
| 刊名 | AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-12-15 |
| 卷号 | 359页码:110284 |
| 关键词 | Autumn phenology Climate change Phenological carryover effects Multisource remote sensing Variable importance in projection |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110284 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Vegetation phenological carryover effects refer to the influence of previous phenological events on the current or subsequent ones. These effects can modulate the responses of autumn phenology to climate change, but the magnitude and duration of this effect remain poorly understood. Therefore, we employed multiple remote sensing datasets from 1982 to 2018 in the Northern Hemisphere (> 30 degrees N) and partial correlation to investigate the influence of the carryover effect and environmental factors on the end of the growing season (EOS) over time. The importance of the variables in the projection score was used to quantify their relative importance. Our results showed that the previous year's EOS had a robust positive impact on the EOS for 40.02 % of the study area during 1982-2015, which was mainly located in the northern 50 degrees N region. In contrast, the start of the growing season (SOS) was the main contributor to the EOS during 2001-2018, mainly at 40 degrees N-50 degrees N and in northern Russia. The carryover effect persisted into the subsequent year, but its strength and positive impacts varied dramatically in the next year. Concurrently, the mean correlation coefficient between climate factors and EOS rose from 0.20 to 0.22. Notably, the correlation coefficient for frost day frequency increased significantly (P < 0.05) from 0.15 to 0.36, with its influence area expanding from 10.29 % to 11.85 % of the study area. Compared with climate factors, the phenological carryover effect was the dominant driver of the EOS for each vegetation type, accounting for 72.8 % and 44.23 % of the total pixels during 1982-2015 and 2001-2018, respectively. Our study reveals a cascade of ecological consequences that extend beyond the initial occurrence and emphasizes the interconnectedness of growth stages in the plant life cycle, providing valuable insights into the adaptability and vulnerability of plant communities. |
| WOS关键词 | NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE ; ECOLOGICAL MEMORY ; SPRING PHENOLOGY ; TREE PHENOLOGY ; TEMPERATE ; SENESCENCE ; DATE |
| WOS研究方向 | Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001347175600001 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/209537]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Xiaoyue |
| 作者单位 | 1.Minist Ecol & Environm Nanjing, Nanjing Inst Environm Sci, Nanjing 210042, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 2.Peking Univ, Inst Carbon Neutral, Sino French Inst Earth Syst Sci, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China 3.Lanzhou Univ, Coll Ecol, State Key Lab Herbage Improvement & Grassland Agro, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yuan, Huanhuan,Yan, Jiabao,Liu, Ying,et al. Influence of vegetation phenological carryover effects on plant autumn phenology under climate change[J]. AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,2024,359:110284. |
| APA | Yuan, Huanhuan,Yan, Jiabao,Liu, Ying,Peng, Jie,&Wang, Xiaoyue.(2024).Influence of vegetation phenological carryover effects on plant autumn phenology under climate change.AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,359,110284. |
| MLA | Yuan, Huanhuan,et al."Influence of vegetation phenological carryover effects on plant autumn phenology under climate change".AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY 359(2024):110284. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。