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Global risk dynamics of Borrelia miyamotoi in the context of climate change

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Tang, Tian5; Ge, Hong-Han5; Ma, Tian3,4; Hao, Meng-meng3,4; Chen, Shuai3,4; Lv, Chen-Long5; Qiu, Yun-Bo5; Wang, Yan-He5; Tian, Yao5; Chen, Jin-Jin5
刊名ENVIRONMENTAL MICROBIOLOGY
出版日期2024-10-01
卷号26期号:10页码:14
ISSN号1462-2912
DOI10.1111/1462-2920.70000
产权排序2
英文摘要The impact of Borrelia miyamotoi on human health, facilitated by the expanding geographical distribution and increasing population of Ixodes ticks, remains obscure in the context of global climate change. We employed multiple models to evaluate the effect of global climate change on the risk of B. miyamotoi worldwide across various scenarios. The habitat suitability index of four primary vector tick species for B. miyamotoi, including Ixodes persulcatus, Ixodes ricinus, Ixodes pacificus and Ixodes scapularis, was projected using a boosted regression tree model, considering multiple shared socio-economic pathway scenarios over various time periods. The modelling analysis reveals that, apart from I. scapularis, future global warming will result in a northward shift in the other three vector tick species and a gradual reduction in suitable habitats. Random forest models indicate consistent changes in B. miyamotoi and its primary tick species, with potential risk areas shrinking and shifting northward, particularly in the eastern USA, northeastern and northern Europe and northeast Asia. These findings highlight the urgent need for enhanced active surveillance of B. miyamotoi infection in primary vector tick species across projected potential risk areas. The effect of climate change on B. miyamotoi distribution might have significant implications for public health decision-making regarding tick-borne pathogens.
WOS关键词TICKS ; TRANSMISSION ; BURGDORFERI ; DISEASE ; HUMANS ; CHINA
资助项目National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Key Research and Development Program of China[2023YFC2605603] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Science[2023000117] ; Wellcome Trust[220211] ; [42201497]
WOS研究方向Microbiology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001334167100001
出版者WILEY
资助机构National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Key Research and Development Program of China ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Science ; Wellcome Trust
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/209973]  
专题资源利用与环境修复重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Jiang, Dong; Ding, Fang-Yu; Liu, Wei; Fang, Li-Qun
作者单位1.Mahidol Univ, Fac Trop Med, Mahidol Oxford Trop Med Res Unit, Bangkok, Thailand
2.Univ Oxford, Ctr Trop Med & Global Hlth, Nuffield Dept Med, Oxford, England
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, 11A Datun Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
5.Acad Mil Med Sci, State Key Lab Pathogen & Biosecur, 20 Dong Da St, Beijing 100071, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Tang, Tian,Ge, Hong-Han,Ma, Tian,et al. Global risk dynamics of Borrelia miyamotoi in the context of climate change[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL MICROBIOLOGY,2024,26(10):14.
APA Tang, Tian.,Ge, Hong-Han.,Ma, Tian.,Hao, Meng-meng.,Chen, Shuai.,...&Fang, Li-Qun.(2024).Global risk dynamics of Borrelia miyamotoi in the context of climate change.ENVIRONMENTAL MICROBIOLOGY,26(10),14.
MLA Tang, Tian,et al."Global risk dynamics of Borrelia miyamotoi in the context of climate change".ENVIRONMENTAL MICROBIOLOGY 26.10(2024):14.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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