中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Spatial and temporal analysis of decomposition models in China

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Sun, Ying1,3; Lu, Ning2,3
刊名RENEWABLE ENERGY
出版日期2024-12-01
卷号237页码:121850
关键词Hourly diffuse irradiance Clearness index Decomposition models Sky classification Model comparison
DOI10.1016/j.renene.2024.121850
产权排序1
文献子类Article
英文摘要This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of 15 decomposition models (12 empirical and 3 atmospheric transmittance models) for estimating diffuse horizontal irradiance at 17 radiation sites in China, using hourly radiation data from 2011 to 2020. Our results show distinct patterns in model performance across different geographical regions, seasons, and sky conditions. The Liu model demonstrates the best overall performance with an RMSE of 78.20 W/m(2), while model accuracy shows significant geographical variation, performing best in South and Southeast China (RMSE<70 W/m(2)) and worst in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Northwest China (RMSE>90 W/m(2)). Seasonal analysis reveals better performance in winter than in summer, with RMSE differences approaching 40 W/m(2), mainly due to the higher proportion of solar elevation angles exceeding 30 degrees in summer. Under different sky conditions (classified by clearness index: 0-0.35 for overcast, 0.35-0.65 for partly cloudy, 0.65-1 for clear skies), most models follow an RMSE pattern of partly cloudy > clear sky > overcast. However, the Reindl2, Boland, DIRINT, and DIRINDEX models deviate from this trend due to their formula structure and sensitivity to atmospheric parameters. To reduce these regional disparities, we propose a new region-specific model selection strategy: the DIRINDEX model for eastern regions, DIRINT for central areas, and Karatasou for western regions. This combined approach reduces the overall RMSE to 73.17 W/m(2). This research deepens our understanding of the application of decomposition models in China's complex geographical and climatic conditions, offering valuable references for solar radiation modeling and renewable energy forecasting in diverse climatic regions.
WOS关键词DIFFUSE SOLAR-RADIATION ; IRRADIANCE MODELS ; EMPIRICAL-MODELS ; SAO-PAULO ; FRACTION ; CITY ; REGION
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS记录号WOS:001360948600001
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/209482]  
专题资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Lu, Ning
作者单位1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
2.Nanjing Normal Univ, Jiangsu Ctr Collaborat Innovat Geog Informat Resou, 1,Wenyuan Rd, Nanjing 210023, Qixia, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Sun, Ying,Lu, Ning. Spatial and temporal analysis of decomposition models in China[J]. RENEWABLE ENERGY,2024,237:121850.
APA Sun, Ying,&Lu, Ning.(2024).Spatial and temporal analysis of decomposition models in China.RENEWABLE ENERGY,237,121850.
MLA Sun, Ying,et al."Spatial and temporal analysis of decomposition models in China".RENEWABLE ENERGY 237(2024):121850.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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