Socio-demographic factors shape mortality risk linked to compound drought-heatwave events under climate change in China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yao, Xin1; Qu, Ying1; Zhang, Liqiang1; Mishra, Ashok K.2; Yin, Jiabo3; Ding, Ruiqiang1; Yang, Jing1; Bai, Chen4; Zhang, Lei1; Li, Mengting4 |
| 刊名 | ONE EARTH
 |
| 出版日期 | 2024-11-15 |
| 卷号 | 7期号:11 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.oneear.2024.09.016 |
| 产权排序 | 6 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Droughts and heatwaves have far-reaching impacts on human health, and their compound effects are more severe. However, our understanding of the impact of compound drought-heatwave (CDHW) on mortality risk, which is a key input for policy prioritization to protect vulnerable populations, remains limited, particularly considering socio-demographic factors such as baseline mortality reductions, population size changes, and aging. Here, we project future changes in CDHW and associated mortality in China under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Under the highest emission scenario (SSP5-8.5), CDHW exposures led to 11.88 (95% confidence interval [95%CI], 8.77-14.80) million premature deaths among Chinese individuals aged 65 years and older by 2100. Notably, even under the least warming pathway (SSP1-2.6), deaths increase due to the expanding size of vulnerable populations. Population aging and baseline mortality changes are more influential in shaping future mortality risks than CDHW exposure levels. Our findings provide valuable insights into understanding and planning for future risk. |
| WOS关键词 | HOT WEATHER ; EXTREMES ; HEALTH ; WAVES ; AUSTRALIA ; INCREASE ; FREQUENT ; IMPACT ; LONGER ; AIR |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001358758700001 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/209496]  |
| 专题 | 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Liqiang; Bai, Chen; Zhou, Chenghu |
| 作者单位 | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 2.Texas A&M Univ, Zachry Dept Civil & Environm Engn, College Stn, TX 77843 USA 3.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources Engn & Management, Wuhan 430072, Hubei, Peoples R China 4.Renmin Univ China, Sch Lab & Human Resources, Beijing 100872, Peoples R China 5.Peking Univ, Sch Phys, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Lab Climate & Ocean Atmosphere Studies, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yao, Xin,Qu, Ying,Zhang, Liqiang,et al. Socio-demographic factors shape mortality risk linked to compound drought-heatwave events under climate change in China[J]. ONE EARTH,2024,7(11). |
| APA | Yao, Xin.,Qu, Ying.,Zhang, Liqiang.,Mishra, Ashok K..,Yin, Jiabo.,...&Zhou, Chenghu.(2024).Socio-demographic factors shape mortality risk linked to compound drought-heatwave events under climate change in China.ONE EARTH,7(11). |
| MLA | Yao, Xin,et al."Socio-demographic factors shape mortality risk linked to compound drought-heatwave events under climate change in China".ONE EARTH 7.11(2024). |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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