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Air pollution's numerical, spatial, and temporal heterogeneous impacts on childhood hand, foot and mouth disease: a multi-model county-level study from China

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Tang, Zhangying1; Sun, Qi1; Pan, Jay2,4,9,11; Xie, Mingyu8; Wang, Zhoufeng1; Lin, Xiaojun2,4,9,11; Wang, Xiuli2,4,9,11; Zhang, Yumeng2,4,9,11; Xue, Qingping7; Bo, Yanchen6
刊名BMC PUBLIC HEALTH
出版日期2024-10-15
卷号24期号:1页码:12
关键词HFMD Heterogeneous impacts Spatiotemporal nonstationarity Numerical nonlinearity Small area China
DOI10.1186/s12889-024-20342-x
产权排序9
英文摘要BackgroundWhile stationary links between childhood hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) and air pollution are known, a comprehensive study on their heterogeneous relationships (nonstationarity), jointly considering numerical, temporal and spatial dimensions, has not been reported.MethodsMonthly HFMD incidence and air pollution data were collected at the county level from Sichuan-Chongqing, China (2009-2011), alongside meteorological and social environmental covariates. Key influential factors were identified using random forest (RF) under the stationary assumption. Factors' numerically, temporally, and spatially heterogeneous relationships with HFMD were assessed using generalized additive model (GAM) and geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR).ResultsOur findings highlighted the relatively higher stationary contributions of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and ozone (O3) to HFMD incidence across Sichuan-Chongqing counties. We further uncovered heterogeneous impacts of PM2.5 and O3 from three nonstationary perspectives. Numerically, PM2.5 showed an inverse 'V'-shaped relationship with HFMD incidence, while O3 exhibited a complex pattern, with increased HFMD incidence at low PM2.5 and moderate O3 concentrations. Temporally, PM2.5's impact peaked in autumn and was weakest in spring, whereas O3's effect was strongest in summer. Spatially, hotspot mapping revealed high-risk clusters for PM2.5 impact across all seasons, with notable geographical variations, and for O3 in spring, summer, and autumn, concentrated in specific regions of Sichuan-Chongqing.ConclusionsThis study underscores the nuanced and three-perspective heterogeneous influences of air pollution on HFMD in small areas, emphasizing the need for differentiated, localized, and time-sensitive prevention and control strategies to enhance the precision of dynamic early warnings and predictive models for HFMD and other infectious diseases, particularly in the fields of environmental and spatial epidemiology.
WOS关键词SPATIOTEMPORAL VARIATION ; DAILY MORTALITY ; CLIMATE FACTORS ; EXPOSURE ; SICHUAN ; DETERMINANTS ; TEMPERATURE ; PARTICLES ; PROVINCE ; HOTSPOTS
资助项目Sichuan Science and Technology Program
WOS研究方向Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001333597600006
出版者BMC
资助机构Sichuan Science and Technology Program
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/210054]  
专题资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Liu, Xin; Song, Chao
作者单位1.Southwest Petr Univ, Sch Geosci & Technol, State Key Lab Oil & Gas Reservoir Geol & Exploitat, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
2.Sichuan Univ, West China Hosp 4, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
3.Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Publ Hlth & Emergency Management, Shenzhen, Nanshan, Peoples R China
4.Sichuan Univ, West China Res Ctr Rural Hlth Dev, West China PUMC CCChen Inst Hlth, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
5.Hangzhou City Univ, Sch Spatial Planning & Design, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
6.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
7.Chengdu Med Coll, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
8.Xi An Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
9.Sichuan Univ, Inst Hlth Cities, West China PUMC CCChen Inst Hlth, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China
10.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst L, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Tang, Zhangying,Sun, Qi,Pan, Jay,et al. Air pollution's numerical, spatial, and temporal heterogeneous impacts on childhood hand, foot and mouth disease: a multi-model county-level study from China[J]. BMC PUBLIC HEALTH,2024,24(1):12.
APA Tang, Zhangying.,Sun, Qi.,Pan, Jay.,Xie, Mingyu.,Wang, Zhoufeng.,...&Song, Chao.(2024).Air pollution's numerical, spatial, and temporal heterogeneous impacts on childhood hand, foot and mouth disease: a multi-model county-level study from China.BMC PUBLIC HEALTH,24(1),12.
MLA Tang, Zhangying,et al."Air pollution's numerical, spatial, and temporal heterogeneous impacts on childhood hand, foot and mouth disease: a multi-model county-level study from China".BMC PUBLIC HEALTH 24.1(2024):12.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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