Water quality-fisheries tradeoffs in a changing climate underscore the need for adaptive ecosystem-based management
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Scavia, Donald1; Ludsin, Stuart A.3; Michalak, Anna M.4,5; Obenour, Daniel R.6; Han, Mingyu7; Johnson, Laura T.8; Wang, Yu - Chen2; Zhao, Gang2; Zhou, Yuntao7 |
刊名 | PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
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出版日期 | 2024-11-05 |
卷号 | 121期号:45页码:12 |
关键词 | hypoxia ecological forecasting eutrophication climate change fisheries |
ISSN号 | 0027-8424 |
DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2322595121 |
产权排序 | 8 |
英文摘要 | Changes driven by both unanticipated human activities and management actions are creating wicked management landscapes in freshwater and marine ecosystems that require new approaches to support decision- making. By linking a predictive model of nutrient- and temperature- driven bottom hypoxia with observed commercial fishery harvest data from Lake Erie (United States-Canada) over the past century (1928-2022) and climate projections (2030-2099), we show how simple, yet robust models and routine monitoring data can be used to identify tradeoffs associated with nutrient management and guide decision- making in even the largest of aquatic ecosystems now and in the future. Our approach enabled us to assess planned nutrient load reduction targets designed to mitigate nutrient- driven hypoxia and show why they appear overly restrictive based on current fishery needs, indicating tradeoffs between water quality and fisheries management goals. At the same time, our temperature results show that projected climate change impacts on hypoxic extent will require more stringent nutrient regulations in the future. Beyond providing a rare example of bottom hypoxia driving changes in fishery harvests at an ecosystem scale, our study illustrates the need for adaptive ecosystem- based management, which can be informed by simple predictive models that can be readily applied over long time periods, account for tradeoffs across multiple management sectors (e.g., water quality, fisheries), and address ecosystem nonstationarity (e.g., climate change impacts on management targets). Such approaches will be critical for maintaining valued ecosystem services in the many aquatic systems worldwide that are vulnerable to multiple drivers of environmental change. |
WOS关键词 | GULF-OF-MEXICO ; SOLUBLE REACTIVE PHOSPHORUS ; LAURENTIAN GREAT-LAKES ; LONG-TERM CHANGES ; FRESH-WATER ; NUTRIENT LOADS ; CENTRAL BASIN ; HYPOLIMNETIC OXYGENATION ; AQUATIC ECOSYSTEMS ; RE-EUTROPHICATION |
资助项目 | US Geological Survey[G23AC00232-00] ; Science and Technologies for Phosphorus Sustainability Center, a NSF Science and Technology Center[CBET-2019435] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42341201] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42276201] ; State of Ohio through the Ohio Department of Agriculture's Division of Soil and Water Conservation ; Andersons Charitable Foundation ; Northeast Ohio Regional Sewer District ; Michigan EGLE |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001355718600010 |
出版者 | NATL ACAD SCIENCES |
资助机构 | US Geological Survey ; Science and Technologies for Phosphorus Sustainability Center, a NSF Science and Technology Center ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; State of Ohio through the Ohio Department of Agriculture's Division of Soil and Water Conservation ; Andersons Charitable Foundation ; Northeast Ohio Regional Sewer District ; Michigan EGLE |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/211130] ![]() |
专题 | 陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文 |
通讯作者 | Scavia, Donald |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Michigan, Sch Environm & Sustainabil, Ann Arbor, MI 48104 USA 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Ohio State Univ, Dept Evolut Ecol & Organismal Biol, Dept Evolut Ecol & Organismal Biol, Columbus, OH 43212 USA 4.Carnegie Inst Sci, Dept Global Ecol, Stanford, CA 94305 USA 5.Stanford Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA 6.NC State Univ, Dept Civil Construct & Environm Engn, Raleigh, NC 27695 USA 7.Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ, Sch Oceanog, Shanghai 200240, Peoples R China 8.Heidelberg Univ, Natl Ctr Water Qual Res, Tiffin, OH 44883 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Scavia, Donald,Ludsin, Stuart A.,Michalak, Anna M.,et al. Water quality-fisheries tradeoffs in a changing climate underscore the need for adaptive ecosystem-based management[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,2024,121(45):12. |
APA | Scavia, Donald.,Ludsin, Stuart A..,Michalak, Anna M..,Obenour, Daniel R..,Han, Mingyu.,...&Zhou, Yuntao.(2024).Water quality-fisheries tradeoffs in a changing climate underscore the need for adaptive ecosystem-based management.PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,121(45),12. |
MLA | Scavia, Donald,et al."Water quality-fisheries tradeoffs in a changing climate underscore the need for adaptive ecosystem-based management".PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 121.45(2024):12. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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