A novel approach to modeling urban commuting traffic demands
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Niu, Fangqu1,2; Xuan, Bingcheng1,2 |
| 刊名 | CITIES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025 |
| 卷号 | 156页码:105583 |
| 关键词 | Traffic demands Model simulation Labor supply Employment status Prediction Land use and transportation |
| ISSN号 | 0264-2751 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.cities.2024.105583 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | The scientific prediction of urban commuting traffic demands can support rational urban planning for population distribution, enterprise placement, and the coordination of land use and transportation. This study develops an Urban Commuting Model (UCM) that integrates both spatial and temporal aspects: Spatially, changes in employment or population distribution lead to changes in commuting patterns; Temporally, the commuting patterns of the previous year form the basis for the patterns of the following year. The UCM, based on historical commuting matrix, simulates urban traffic demands under various scenarios of urban residential population and employment planning. In a case study, the proposed model was used to simulate urban traffic demands in Beijing under the construction scenario of the city's sub-center in Tongzhou. The case study demonstrates that the UCM can effectively predict urban traffic demands under different land use and transportation scenarios, providing informative policy implications at an early planning stage. This study offers a novel approach for simulating urban traffic demands and is a valuable addition to the existing literature. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | PATTERNS ; GRAVITY ; DETERMINANTS ; MOBILITY ; ENTROPY ; GENDER |
| 资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[42071153] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41101119] |
| WOS研究方向 | Urban Studies |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001355617200001 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
| 资助机构 | National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/211175]  |
| 专题 | 区域可持续发展分析与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Niu, Fangqu |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Niu, Fangqu,Xuan, Bingcheng. A novel approach to modeling urban commuting traffic demands[J]. CITIES,2025,156:105583. |
| APA | Niu, Fangqu,&Xuan, Bingcheng.(2025).A novel approach to modeling urban commuting traffic demands.CITIES,156,105583. |
| MLA | Niu, Fangqu,et al."A novel approach to modeling urban commuting traffic demands".CITIES 156(2025):105583. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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