Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed
文献类型:CNKI期刊论文
作者 | Yunxia GUO; Yijun HOU; Peng QI![]() |
发表日期 | 2021-03-15 |
出处 | Journal of Oceanology and Limnology
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关键词 | typhoon empirical track model decay model extreme wind speed return period |
英文摘要 | Typhoons are one of the most serious natural disasters that occur annually on China's southeast coast.A technique for analyzing the typhoon wind hazard was developed based on the empirical track model,and used to generate 1 000-year virtual typhoons for Northwest Pacific basin.The influences of typhoon decay model,track model,and the extreme value distribution on the predicted extreme wind speed were investigated.We found that different typhoon decay models have least influence on the predicted extreme wind speed.Over most of the southeast coast of China,the predicted wind speed by the nonsimplified empirical track model is larger than that from the simplified tracking model.The extreme wind speed predicted by different extreme value distribution is quite different.Four super typhoons Meranti(2016),Hato(2017),Mangkhut(2018),and Lekima(2019) were selected and the return periods of typhoon wind speeds along the China southeast coast were estimated in order to assess the typhoon wind hazard. |
文献子类 | CNKI期刊论文 |
资助机构 | the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Nos. 2016YFC1402000, 2018YFC1407003, 2016YFC1402004) ; the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. U1606402, 41421005) ; the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Nos. XDA19060202, XDA19060502) |
卷 | v.39期:02页:37-53 |
语种 | 英文; |
分类号 | P444 |
ISSN号 | 2096-5508 |
源URL | [http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/187842] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院海洋研究所 |
作者单位 | 1.CenterforOceanMega-Science,ChineseAcademyofSciences 2.KeyLaboratoryofOceanCirculationandWaves,InstituteofOceanology,ChineseAcademyofSciences 3.UniversityofChineseAcademyofSciences 4.LaboratoryforOceanandClimateDynamics,QingdaoNationalLaboratoryforMarineScienceandTechnology |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yunxia GUO,Yijun HOU,Peng QI. Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed. 2021. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:海洋研究所
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