中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed

文献类型:CNKI期刊论文

作者Yunxia GUO; Yijun HOU; Peng QI
发表日期2021-03-15
出处Journal of Oceanology and Limnology
关键词typhoon empirical track model decay model extreme wind speed return period
英文摘要Typhoons are one of the most serious natural disasters that occur annually on China's southeast coast.A technique for analyzing the typhoon wind hazard was developed based on the empirical track model,and used to generate 1 000-year virtual typhoons for Northwest Pacific basin.The influences of typhoon decay model,track model,and the extreme value distribution on the predicted extreme wind speed were investigated.We found that different typhoon decay models have least influence on the predicted extreme wind speed.Over most of the southeast coast of China,the predicted wind speed by the nonsimplified empirical track model is larger than that from the simplified tracking model.The extreme wind speed predicted by different extreme value distribution is quite different.Four super typhoons Meranti(2016),Hato(2017),Mangkhut(2018),and Lekima(2019) were selected and the return periods of typhoon wind speeds along the China southeast coast were estimated in order to assess the typhoon wind hazard.
文献子类CNKI期刊论文
资助机构the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Nos. 2016YFC1402000, 2018YFC1407003, 2016YFC1402004) ; the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. U1606402, 41421005) ; the Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Nos. XDA19060202, XDA19060502)
v.39期:02页:37-53
语种英文;
分类号P444
ISSN号2096-5508
源URL[http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/187842]  
专题中国科学院海洋研究所
作者单位1.CenterforOceanMega-Science,ChineseAcademyofSciences
2.KeyLaboratoryofOceanCirculationandWaves,InstituteofOceanology,ChineseAcademyofSciences
3.UniversityofChineseAcademyofSciences
4.LaboratoryforOceanandClimateDynamics,QingdaoNationalLaboratoryforMarineScienceandTechnology
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yunxia GUO,Yijun HOU,Peng QI. Typhoon wind hazard model and estimation on return period of typhoon wind speed. 2021.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:海洋研究所

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