The IOD-ENSO precursory teleconnection over the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean: dynamics and long-term trends under global warming
文献类型:CNKI期刊论文
作者 | Yuan DL(袁东亮)![]() ![]() ![]() |
发表日期 | 2018-01-15 |
出处 | Journal of Oceanology and Limnology
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关键词 | Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD) El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) oceanic channel Indonesian Throughflow ENSO predictability |
英文摘要 | The dynamics of the teleconnection between the Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD) in the tropical Indian Ocean and El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) in the tropical Pacific Ocean at the time lag of one year are investigated using lag correlations between the oceanic anomalies in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean in fall and those in the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean in the following winter-fall seasons in the observations and in high-resolution global ocean model simulations. The lag correlations suggest that the IOD-forced interannual transport anomalies of the Indonesian Throughflow generate thermocline anomalies in the western equatorial Pacific Ocean, which propagate to the east to induce ocean-atmosphere coupled evolution leading to ENSO. In comparison, lag correlations between the surface zonal wind anomalies over the western equatorial Pacific in fall and the Indo-Pacific oceanic anomalies at time lags longer than a season are all insignificant, suggesting the short memory of the atmospheric bridge. A linear continuously stratified model is used to investigate the dynamics of the oceanic connection between the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans. The experiments suggest that interannual equatorial Kelvin waves from the Indian Ocean propagate into the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the Makassar Strait and the eastern Indonesian seas with a penetration rate of about 10%–15% depending on the baroclinic modes. The IOD-ENSO teleconnection is found to get stronger in the past century or so. Diagnoses of the CMIP5 model simulations suggest that the increased teleconnection is associated with decreased Indonesian Throughflow transports in the recent century, which is found sensitive to the global warming forcing.The dynamics of the teleconnection between the Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD)in the tropical Indian Ocean and El Ni?o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO)in the tropical Pacific Ocean at the time lag of one year are investigated using lag correlations between the oceanic anomalies in the southeastern tropical Indian Ocean in fall and those in the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean in the following winter-fall seasons in the observations and in high-resolution global ocean model simulations.The lag correlations suggest that the IOD-forced interannual transport anomalies of the Indonesian Throughflow generate thermocline anomalies in the western equatorial Pacific Ocean,which propagate to the east to induce ocean-atmosphere coupled evolution leading to ENSO.In comparison,lag correlations between the surface zonal wind anomalies over the western equatorial Pacific in fall and the Indo-Pacific oceanic anomalies at time lags longer than a season are all insignificant,suggesting the short memory of the atmospheric bridge.A linear continuously stratified model is used to investigate the dynamics of the oceanic connection between the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans.The experiments suggest that interannual equatorial Kelvin waves from the Indian Ocean propagate into the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the Makassar Strait and the eastern Indonesian seas with a penetration rate of about 10%–15%depending on the baroclinic modes.The IOD-ENSO teleconnection is found to get stronger in the past century or so.Diagnoses of the CMIP5 model simulations suggest that the increased teleconnection is associated with decreased Indonesian Throughflow transports in the recent century,which is found sensitive to the global warming forcing. |
文献子类 | CNKI期刊论文 |
资助机构 | Supported by the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program)(No.2012CB956001) ; the CMA(No.GYHY201306018) ; the State Oceanic Administration(SOA)(No.GASI-03-01-01-05) ; the National Natural Science Foundation of China(NSFC)(Nos.41421005,41176019,U1406401) ; the Shandong Provincial Project(No.2014GJJS0101) ; the Strategic Priority Project of CAS(Nos.XDA11010301,XDA11010102,XDA11010205) ; the QNLM Project(No.2016ASKJ04) |
卷 | v.36期:01页:6-21 |
语种 | 英文; |
分类号 | P732 |
ISSN号 | 2096-5508 |
源URL | [http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/189040] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院海洋研究所 |
作者单位 | 1.KeyLaboratoryofOceanCirculationandWaves(KLOCW),andInstituteofOceanology,ChineseAcademyofSciences,andQingdaoNationalLaboratoryforMarineScienceandTechnology 2.UniversityofChineseAcademyofSciences 3.QingdaoCollaborativeInnovationCenterofMarineScienceandTechnology 4.UniversityofTokyo 5.DepartmentofAtmosphericandOceanicSciences,UniversityofColorado |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yuan DL,Hu XY,Xu P,et al. The IOD-ENSO precursory teleconnection over the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean: dynamics and long-term trends under global warming. 2018. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:海洋研究所
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