Target observations for improving initialization of high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events forecasting
文献类型：CNKI期刊论文
| 作者 | Mu Mu; Wansuo Duan; Dake Chen; Weidong Yu |
| 发表日期 | 2015-06-15 |
| 出处 | National Science Review
 |
| 关键词 | atmosphere,ocean,predictability,target observation |
| 英文摘要 | In this paper, we emphasize the importance of accurate initial conditions in predicting high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events, such as El Nin?o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO), Indian Ocean Dipole(IOD), tropical cyclone(TC), and Kuroshio large meander(KLM), by reviewing recent progresses toward target observations for improving the initialization of these events forecasting. Since ield observations are costly and will never be dense enough to fully cover the vast space of these events, it is necessary to develop methodologies that guide the design of eicient and efective observation strategy. Of particular interest is a method called conditional non-linear optimal perturbation(CNOP), which has been shown to be very useful in determining the sensitive areas for target observations applicable to the predictions of ENSO, IOD, TC, and KLM. Further studies are needed to understand the predictability of these events under the inluence of climate change, and to explore the possibility of implementing ield programs of target observations. hese studies are challenging but are crucially important for improving our forecast skill of the high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events, and thus for disaster prevention,climate change mitigation, and sustainable socio-economic development. |
| 文献子类 | CNKI期刊论文 |
| 资助机构 | jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41230420) ; support from National Natural Science Foundation of China(91128204,41321004) ; the National Public Beneit (Meteorology) Research Foundation of China(GYHY201306018) ; the National Basic Research Program of China(2013CB430302) ; the State Oceanic Administration(Air-Sea Interaction and Climate Change Program) |
| 卷 | v.2期:02页:104-114 |
| 语种 | 英文; |
| 分类号 | P732 |
| ISSN号 | 2095-5138 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/190013]  |
| 专题 | 中国科学院海洋研究所 |
| 作者单位 | 1.InstituteofOceanology,ChineseAcademyofSciences 2.LASG,InstituteofAtmosphericPhysics,ChineseAcademyofSciences 3.SOED,SecondInstituteofOceanography,StateOceanicAdministration 4.FirstInstituteofOceanography,StateOceanicAdministration |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mu Mu,Wansuo Duan,Dake Chen,et al. Target observations for improving initialization of high-impact ocean-atmospheric environmental events forecasting. 2015. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：海洋研究所
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