Advanced Peak Phase of ENSO under Global Warming
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Zheng, Xiao-tong2,3,5; Hui, Chang2,3; Han, Zi-wen2,3; Wu, Yue1,4,5 |
刊名 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
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出版日期 | 2024-10-01 |
卷号 | 37期号:20页码:5271-5289 |
关键词 | Atmosphere-ocean interaction Climate change ENSO Tropical variability |
ISSN号 | 0894-8755 |
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0002.1 |
通讯作者 | Zheng, Xiao-tong(zhengxt@ouc.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | El Ni & ntilde;o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the leading mode of interannual ocean-atmosphere coupling in the tropical Pacific, fi c, greatly influencing fl uencing the global climate system. Seasonal phase locking, which means that ENSO events usually peak in boreal winter, is a distinctive feature of ENSO. In model future projections, the ENSO sea surface temperature (SST) amplitude in winter shows no significant fi cant change with a large intermodel spread. However, whether and how ENSO phase locking will respond to global warming are not fully understood. In this study, using Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESM-LE) projections, we found that the seasonality of ENSO events, especially its peak phase, has advanced under global warming. This phenomenon corresponds to the seasonal difference in the changes in the ENSO SST amplitude with an enhanced (weakened) amplitude from boreal summer to autumn (winter). Mixed layer ocean heat budget analysis revealed that the advanced ENSO seasonality is due to intensified fi ed positive meridional advective and thermocline feedback during the ENSO developing phase and intensified fi ed negative thermal damping during the ENSO peak phase. Furthermore, the seasonal variation in the mean El Ni & ntilde;o-like SST warming in the tropical Pacific fi c favors a weakened zonal advective feedback in boreal autumn-winter and earlier decay of ENSO. The advance of the ENSO peak phase is also found in most CMIP5/6 models that simulate the seasonal phase locking of ENSO well in the present climate. Thus, even though the amplitude response in the winter shows no model consensus, ENSO also significantly fi cantly changes during different stages under global warming. |
WOS关键词 | SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; NINO SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ; TROPICAL PACIFIC-OCEAN ; EL-NINO ; ATMOSPHERIC TELECONNECTIONS ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; CLIMATE MODEL ; BASIC STATE ; AMPLITUDE ; LOCKING |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Foundation of China[41975092] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[42230405] ; National Key R&D Program of China[2023YFF0805100] ; Shandong Natural Science Foundation Project[ZR2019 ZD12] ; Taishan Scholars Project of Shandong Province[tsqn202306095] |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001336206100001 |
出版者 | AMER METEOROLOGICAL SOC |
源URL | [http://ir.qdio.ac.cn/handle/337002/199510] ![]() |
专题 | 海洋研究所_海洋环流与波动重点实验室 |
通讯作者 | Zheng, Xiao-tong |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, CAS Key Lab Ocean Circulat & Waves, Qingdao, Peoples R China 2.Ocean Univ China, Earth Syst & Phys Oceanog Lab, Qingdao, Peoples R China 3.Ocean Univ China, Frontier Sci Ctr Deep Ocean Multispheres, Qingdao, Peoples R China 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Marine Sci, Qingdao, Peoples R China 5.Laoshan Lab, Qingdao, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zheng, Xiao-tong,Hui, Chang,Han, Zi-wen,et al. Advanced Peak Phase of ENSO under Global Warming[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2024,37(20):5271-5289. |
APA | Zheng, Xiao-tong,Hui, Chang,Han, Zi-wen,&Wu, Yue.(2024).Advanced Peak Phase of ENSO under Global Warming.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,37(20),5271-5289. |
MLA | Zheng, Xiao-tong,et al."Advanced Peak Phase of ENSO under Global Warming".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 37.20(2024):5271-5289. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:海洋研究所
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