Short-term evolution and risks of debris cloud stemming from collisions in geostationary orbit
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Shu P(舒鹏)1![]() ![]() |
刊名 | ACTA ASTRONAUTICA
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出版日期 | 2025-03 |
卷号 | 228页码:486-493 |
关键词 | Space debris Object breakup Density evolution Collision probability Geostationary orbit |
ISSN号 | 0094-5765 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.actaastro.2024.12.016 |
产权排序 | 第1完成单位 |
文献子类 | Article |
英文摘要 | The increasing population of objects in geostationary orbit has raised concerns about the potential risks posed by debris clouds resulting from fragmentation. The short-term evolution and associated hazards of debris generated by collisions in the geostationary region is investigated in this study. The initial distribution of two debris clouds is modeled using a single probability density function. The combined distribution of the evolved clouds is determined by solving boundary value problems. The risks associated with these debris clouds are evaluated by calculating the instantaneous impact rate and cumulative collision probability. The probability of collisions with millimeter-sized fragments may increase to 1% within 36 h, while the probability of collisions with fragments 5 cm or larger is approximately 10 -5 . These findings underscore the vulnerability of the geostationary region to space traffic accidents. |
学科主题 | 天文学 ; 航空、航天科学技术 |
URL标识 | 查看原文 |
出版地 | THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND |
WOS关键词 | ANALYTICAL-MODEL ; SPACE ; TOOL |
资助项目 | National Natural Science Founda-tion of China[12303082] ; National Natural Science Founda-tion of China[12432017] ; National Natural Science Founda-tion of China[12402048] ; China Postdoctoral Sci-ence Foundation (CPSF)[2024M753491] ; Post-doctoral Fellowship Program of CPSF[GZC20232975] |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001393315600001 |
出版者 | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD |
资助机构 | National Natural Science Founda-tion of China[12303082, 12432017, 12402048] ; China Postdoctoral Sci-ence Foundation (CPSF)[2024M753491] ; Post-doctoral Fellowship Program of CPSF[GZC20232975] |
源URL | [http://ir.ynao.ac.cn/handle/114a53/27942] ![]() |
专题 | 云南天文台_应用天文研究组 |
作者单位 | 1.Yunnan Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 650216, Kunming, China; 2.Beijing Institute of Tracking and Telecommunications Technology, 100094, Beijing, China 3.National University of Defense Technology, 410073, Changsha, China; |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shu P,Zhao, Meng,Li, Zhen-Yu,et al. Short-term evolution and risks of debris cloud stemming from collisions in geostationary orbit[J]. ACTA ASTRONAUTICA,2025,228:486-493. |
APA | Shu P,Zhao, Meng,Li, Zhen-Yu,Sun, Wei,Li YQ,&Luo, Ya-Zhong.(2025).Short-term evolution and risks of debris cloud stemming from collisions in geostationary orbit.ACTA ASTRONAUTICA,228,486-493. |
MLA | Shu P,et al."Short-term evolution and risks of debris cloud stemming from collisions in geostationary orbit".ACTA ASTRONAUTICA 228(2025):486-493. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:云南天文台
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