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Assessing and predicting Bojiang lake area and LULC changes from 2000 to 2045

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Naeem, Muhammad3,4; Zhang, Yongqiang4; Tian, Xiaoqiang2; Miao, Ping2; Li, Congcong4; Xu, Zhenwu4; Wang, Longhao3,4; Mumtaz, Faisal1,3; Tang, Zixuan3,4; He, Shaoyang3,4
刊名JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
出版日期2025-04-01
卷号58页码:102216
关键词Machine Learning CA-ANN Model Lake changes Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) Changes Climate Change Water management
DOI10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102216
产权排序1
文献子类Article
英文摘要Study region: This study focuses on the Bojiang Lake Basin in Erdos, China, covering an area of 744.56 km2. Study focus: While the global significance of lake ecosystems is well established, few studies have investigated the long-term dynamics of Bojiang Lake, particularly the interplay between human activities and climate change. This study assesses lake area fluctuations and land use/land cover changes in the Bojiang Lake Basin from 2000 to 2023 and provides projections for 2024-2045 using the CA-ANN model. New hydrological insights for the region: From 2000-2011, the lake's surface area decreased by approximately 80 %, shrinking from 9.78 km2 to 1.92 km2. Between 2012 and 2023, the lake area recovered by 340 %, expanding to 8.49 km2, primarily due to increased precipitation and improved water management practices. Projections for 2024-2045 suggest further hydrological changes, with the lake area expected to increase by 42.67 %, reaching 12.17 km2 by 2045. Additionally, vegetation cover is expected to rise by 1.97 %, while barren land will decrease by 3.10 %. However, built-up areas are predicted to grow by 47.73 %, reflecting ongoing urban expansion. These findings emphasize the need for integrated land and water management strategies to balance urban growth with environmental conservation. Sustainable planning is crucial for mitigating the impacts of urbanization and climate change, ensuring the long-term ecological stability of the Bojiang Lake Basin.
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WOS关键词LAND USE/LAND COVER ; CHINA
WOS研究方向Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001422981500001
出版者ELSEVIER
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/212276]  
专题陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Zhang, Yongqiang
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Ordos Water Conservancy Bur, Ordos 017000, Inner Mongolia, Peoples R China;
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China;
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Naeem, Muhammad,Zhang, Yongqiang,Tian, Xiaoqiang,et al. Assessing and predicting Bojiang lake area and LULC changes from 2000 to 2045[J]. JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,2025,58:102216.
APA Naeem, Muhammad.,Zhang, Yongqiang.,Tian, Xiaoqiang.,Miao, Ping.,Li, Congcong.,...&He, Shaoyang.(2025).Assessing and predicting Bojiang lake area and LULC changes from 2000 to 2045.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,58,102216.
MLA Naeem, Muhammad,et al."Assessing and predicting Bojiang lake area and LULC changes from 2000 to 2045".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES 58(2025):102216.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：地理科学与资源研究所

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