ComHazAsTC-RRE: Compound Hazard Assessment of Tropical Cyclones within Repeatable, Reproducible, and Expandable Framework
文献类型:期刊论文
作者 | Zhou, Ziying9,10,11; Yang, Saini8,11; Wang, Siqin5,6,7; Liu, Xiaoyan4; Hu, Fuyu3; Wu, Yaqiao2; Chen, Yu1 |
刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION
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出版日期 | 2025-02-01 |
卷号 | 136页码:13 |
关键词 | Tropical cyclone Compound hazard Sustainable development China's coast Repeatable, reproducible, and expandable (RRE) Vine copula |
ISSN号 | 1569-8432 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.jag.2024.104314 |
通讯作者 | Yang, Saini(yangsaini@bnu.edu.cn) |
英文摘要 | Compound hazards caused by tropical cyclones involve interactions among multiple hazards, such as wind, rainfall, and storm surge, significantly increasing the uncertainty and destructiveness of disasters. Existing studies primarily focus on probabilistic analyses of single or dual hazards associated with tropical cyclones, revealing limitations in handling high-dimensional data and complex dependencies. This study developed the ComHazAsTC-RRE (Compound Haz ard Assessment of Tropical Cyclones within Repeatable, Reproducible, and Expandable Framework) model to analyze the compound hazards of wind, rainfall, and storm surge induced by tropical cyclones and successfully applied it to China's coast. We collected globally accessible daily records of maximum wind speed, cumulative rainfall, and maximum storm surge for China's coastal areas from 1979 to 2018. Using a C-Vine Copula with wind speed as the core, incorporating rainfall and storm surge as branches, we accurately captured complex dependencies of tropical cyclones. Our various return period analyses underscore the importance of considering multiple hazards and their interactions. Additionally, the application of Compound Hazard Index in China reveals that southeastern coastal areas are subjected to significantly higher compound hazards, driven by high wind speeds and strong spatial-temporal consistency of hazards. An in-depth analysis of failure probabilities indicates that neglecting the interactions among hazards can result in substantial additional cost for engineering projects, especially during severe tropical cyclones. This study offers new perspectives and scientific tools for understanding and addressing compound hazards, formulating effective disaster prevention and mitigation strategies, and supporting the sustainable development of coastal regions worldwide. |
WOS关键词 | STORM-SURGE ; MODEL ; SCENARIOS ; RAINFALL |
资助项目 | Guangdong Provincial Natural Science Foundation[2023A1515010604] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72471031] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[72001018] ; National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS)[P2CES033433-01] |
WOS研究方向 | Remote Sensing |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS记录号 | WOS:001392528000001 |
出版者 | ELSEVIER |
资助机构 | Guangdong Provincial Natural Science Foundation ; National Natural Science Foundation of China ; National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences (NIEHS) |
源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/212559] ![]() |
专题 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 |
通讯作者 | Yang, Saini |
作者单位 | 1.Nanjing Univ, State Key Lab Novel Software Technol, Nanjing, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat CAS, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China 3.Ocean Univ China, Sch Int Affairs & Publ Adm, Qingdao, Peoples R China 4.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 5.Royal Melbourne Inst Technol RMIT Univ, Sch Sci, Melbourne, Australia 6.Univ Queensland, Sch Environm, Brisbane, Australia 7.Univ Southern Calif, Spatial Sci Inst, Los Angeles, CA USA 8.Integrated Res Disaster Risk, Beijing, Peoples R China 9.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China 10.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Natl Safety & Emergency Management, Zhuhai, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhou, Ziying,Yang, Saini,Wang, Siqin,et al. ComHazAsTC-RRE: Compound Hazard Assessment of Tropical Cyclones within Repeatable, Reproducible, and Expandable Framework[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION,2025,136:13. |
APA | Zhou, Ziying.,Yang, Saini.,Wang, Siqin.,Liu, Xiaoyan.,Hu, Fuyu.,...&Chen, Yu.(2025).ComHazAsTC-RRE: Compound Hazard Assessment of Tropical Cyclones within Repeatable, Reproducible, and Expandable Framework.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION,136,13. |
MLA | Zhou, Ziying,et al."ComHazAsTC-RRE: Compound Hazard Assessment of Tropical Cyclones within Repeatable, Reproducible, and Expandable Framework".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATION AND GEOINFORMATION 136(2025):13. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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