Constructing vulnerability curves considering mitigation capacity to enhance the predictive ability of disaster losses
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Liu, Fangtian1,2,3; Xu, Erqi2; Zhang, Hongqi2 |
| 刊名 | NATURAL HAZARDS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-03-12 |
| 卷号 | N/A |
| 关键词 | Typhoon Vulnerability curve Mitigation capacity Residual Analysis Disaster Losses Hainan Island |
| ISSN号 | 0921-030X |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11069-025-07204-4 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article ; Early Access |
| 英文摘要 | Typhoons are one of the most dangerous meteorological disaster in coastal areas. A vulnerability curve assesses the expected loss by establishing the relationship of typhoon intensity with loss. However, the role of mitigation capacity in reducing vulnerability has not yet been taken into account in vulnerability curve construction, readily introducing uncertainties. This study improved the traditional method used to construct a vulnerability curve, using mitigation capacity to increase the accuracy of vulnerability curve. The results showed that there was a significant correlation between the mitigation capacity and the residual of a traditional vulnerability curve. Moreover, the improved vulnerability curve constructed has higher R2 and lower AIC value. Taking the economy as an example, compared to the traditional vulnerability curve, the R2 of the improved vulnerability curve has increased by 0.01 to 0.05. For a given level of typhoon intensity, the loss rate in counties with a high mitigation capacity was lower than that of counties with a low mitigation capacity. In particular, at high typhoon intensities, the loss rate in counties with a high mitigation capacity was significantly lower. The results provide a scientific reference for authorities in formulating effective mitigation strategies and reducing vulnerability to typhoons. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | TROPICAL CYCLONES ; PHYSICAL VULNERABILITY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BUILDING VULNERABILITY ; DAMAGE ; INTENSIFICATION ; LANDSLIDES ; HAZARDS ; IMPACT ; RISKS |
| WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001441578300001 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/213259]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Xu, Erqi |
| 作者单位 | 1.Hebei Collaborat Innovat Ctr Urban Rural Integrate, Shijiazhuang 050061, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 3.Hebei Univ Econ & Business, Sch Publ Adm, Shijiazhuang 050061, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Fangtian,Xu, Erqi,Zhang, Hongqi. Constructing vulnerability curves considering mitigation capacity to enhance the predictive ability of disaster losses[J]. NATURAL HAZARDS,2025,N/A. |
| APA | Liu, Fangtian,Xu, Erqi,&Zhang, Hongqi.(2025).Constructing vulnerability curves considering mitigation capacity to enhance the predictive ability of disaster losses.NATURAL HAZARDS,N/A. |
| MLA | Liu, Fangtian,et al."Constructing vulnerability curves considering mitigation capacity to enhance the predictive ability of disaster losses".NATURAL HAZARDS N/A(2025). |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。