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Dynamics and impacts of monsoon-induced geological hazards: a 2022 flood study along the Swat River in Pakistan

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Bazai, Nazir Ahmed5,7; Alam, Mehtab3,4; Cui, Peng5,6,7; Hao, Wang7; Khan, Adil Poshad(); Waseem, Muhammad(); Shunyu, Yao2; Ramzan, Muhammad7; Wanhong, Li5,7; Ahmed, Tashfain1
刊名NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
出版日期2025-03-11
卷号25期号:3页码:1071-1093
ISSN号1561-8633
DOI10.5194/nhess-25-1071-2025
产权排序2
文献子类Article
英文摘要This study examines the impacts of the unprecedented 2022 monsoon season in Pakistan's Swat River basin, where rainfall exceeded historical averages by 7 %-8 %. This extreme weather led to catastrophic debris flows and floods, worsening challenges for low-income communities. The resulting financial instability affected millions, causing significant damage to homes, crops, and transportation. The study employs a multidisciplinary approach, combining field investigations, remote sensing data interpretation, and numerical simulations to identify the factors contributing to debris flow incidents. Analysis of land cover changes reveals a decrease in grasslands and an increase in barren land, indicating the adverse effects of deforestation on the region. Topography and gully morphology are crucial in initiating debris flows, with steep gradients and shallow-slope failures predominant. Numerical simulations show that debris flows reached high velocities of 18 m s-1 and depths of 40 m within 45 min. Two debris flows resulted in the formation of dams along the Swat River, intensifying subsequent floods. The study emphasizes the interplay of extreme rainfall and deforestation during the rainy season, rendering the region susceptible to debris flows and hindering restoration efforts. Recommendations include climate change mitigation, reforestation initiatives, and discouraging construction activities in flood-prone and debris-flow-prone regions. The study advocates for enhanced early warning systems and rigorous land use planning to protect the environment and local communities, highlighting the imperative of proactive measures in the face of escalating climate challenges. Additionally, the study investigates the spatial distribution of various events and their consequences, including potential hydrometeorological triggers, and how such events initiate processes that change mountain landscapes. It also assesses the extent to which the 2022 monsoon can be classified as abnormal. The combination of empirical evidence and practical insights presented in this study highlights research gaps and proposes routes toward a deeper understanding of monsoon-triggered geological hazards and their consequences.
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WOS关键词LAND-USE CHANGE ; DEBRIS-FLOW ; LANDSLIDES ; FORESTS ; CLIMATE ; MODELS ; SUSCEPTIBILITY ; DEFORESTATION
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001440976100001
出版者COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/213260]  
专题陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Alam, Mehtab; Cui, Peng
作者单位1.Michigan State Univ, Comp Sci & Engn Dept, Deep Tech Lab, E Lansing, MI 48823 USA
2.China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China;
3.Ghulam Ishaq Khan Inst Engn Sci & Technol, Dept Civil Engn, Swabi 23640, Khyber Pakhtunk, Pakistan;
4.Tongji Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Dept Geotech Engn, Shanghai 200092, Peoples R China;
5.CAS HEC, China Pakistan Joint Res Ctr Earth Sci, Islamabad 45320, Pakistan;
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
7.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China;
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Bazai, Nazir Ahmed,Alam, Mehtab,Cui, Peng,et al. Dynamics and impacts of monsoon-induced geological hazards: a 2022 flood study along the Swat River in Pakistan[J]. NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,2025,25(3):1071-1093.
APA Bazai, Nazir Ahmed.,Alam, Mehtab.,Cui, Peng.,Hao, Wang.,Khan, Adil Poshad.,...&Ahmed, Tashfain.(2025).Dynamics and impacts of monsoon-induced geological hazards: a 2022 flood study along the Swat River in Pakistan.NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,25(3),1071-1093.
MLA Bazai, Nazir Ahmed,et al."Dynamics and impacts of monsoon-induced geological hazards: a 2022 flood study along the Swat River in Pakistan".NATURAL HAZARDS AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES 25.3(2025):1071-1093.

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来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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