Moisture-modulated heatwaves: tracking 3D evolution patterns and projected changes
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, Qian5; Yin, Jiabo5; Liu, Pan5; Zhu, Wenbin3,4; Gu, Xihui2; Gu, Lei1 |
| 刊名 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-04-01 |
| 卷号 | 20期号:4页码:44037 |
| 关键词 | climate change heatwaves moisture-modulated spatiotemporal evolution future projection |
| ISSN号 | 1748-9326 |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/adc1e5 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Heatwaves stand as one of the most consequential manifestations of global climate change. Their severity intensifies dramatically when extreme temperatures coincide with high humidity, posing compound threats to human health and natural systems. Here, we employ a three-dimensional (latitude x longitude x time) connectivity framework to analyze moisture-modulated heatwaves through daily lethal heat stress indices from 1979 to 2023. We identify 1642 distinct events worldwide, revealing pronounced hemispheric asymmetry and characteristic regional propagation pathways. Over the past four decades, these heatwaves exhibited substantial intensification, with frequency rising by 12.26 events per decade and significant expansions in spatial extent and duration-despite an unexpected moderation in mean intensity. Multi-model ensemble projections indicate a transformative shift in heatwave characteristics throughout the 21st century, characterizing more frequent and prolonged events that manifest in increasingly localized patterns. Under high-emission scenarios, some regions may experience a threefold increase in event duration, with intensity potentially rising by 1.56 degrees C by the late 21st century. Our findings elucidate the complex dynamics of moisture-modulated heatwaves and highlight the critical importance of integrated temperature-humidity metrics for climate adaptation and risk mitigation in a warming world. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | TEMPERATURE ; HEAT ; CIRCULATION ; HUMIDITY |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001451541800001 |
| 出版者 | IOP Publishing Ltd |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/213232]  |
| 专题 | 陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Yin, Jiabo |
| 作者单位 | 1.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland 2.China Univ Geosci, Sch Geog & Informat Engn, Wuhan, Peoples R China; 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China; 5.Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources Engn & Management, Wuhan, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Qian,Yin, Jiabo,Liu, Pan,et al. Moisture-modulated heatwaves: tracking 3D evolution patterns and projected changes[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2025,20(4):44037. |
| APA | Zhang, Qian,Yin, Jiabo,Liu, Pan,Zhu, Wenbin,Gu, Xihui,&Gu, Lei.(2025).Moisture-modulated heatwaves: tracking 3D evolution patterns and projected changes.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,20(4),44037. |
| MLA | Zhang, Qian,et al."Moisture-modulated heatwaves: tracking 3D evolution patterns and projected changes".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 20.4(2025):44037. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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