Glacier Coverage Dominates the Response of Runoff and Its Components to Climate Change in the Tianshan Mountains
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yang, Zelong2,3; Bai, Peng3; Tian, Yuan1; Liu, Xiaomang3 |
| 刊名 | WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-03-01 |
| 卷号 | 61期号:3页码:e2024WR037947 |
| 关键词 | Tianshan runoff Warming-wetting glacier meltwater |
| ISSN号 | 0043-1397 |
| DOI | 10.1029/2024WR037947 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | In the context of climate warming, runoff changes in the Tianshan Mountains vary widely across basins, with both increasing and decreasing trends. However, the underlying mechanisms remain to be elucidated due to the complexity of the response of runoff components (rainfall runoff, snowmelt runoff, and glacier runoff) to climate change. Here, we quantified the effects of historical (1982-2015) precipitation and temperature changes on runoff and its components and projected future (2016-2100) runoff changes in 25 basins with diverse glacier coverage in the Tianshan Mountains. A multivariate calibration scheme was used to constrain the hydrologic model to generate reasonable runoff component partitioning. Our results indicate that historical runoff responses to changes in precipitation and temperature are highly correlated with the extent of glacier coverage at the basin scale. Future runoff trends in highly and moderately glacierized basins depend largely on the magnitude of warming: tending to decrease under the low warming scenario and increase under the high warming scenario. In contrast, runoff in low glacierized basins is expected to increase due to increased precipitation. Moreover, the contribution of R-glacier to runoff is projected to be negligible (<5%) in most moderately and low glacierized basins by the end of this century (2071-2100), posing a challenge to the stability of regional water supplies. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | HYDROLOGICAL RESPONSE ; HYDROGRAPH SEPARATION ; PRECIPITATION TYPES ; TIBETAN PLATEAU ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; INVENTORY DATA ; SNOW SURFACE ; MASS-BALANCE ; RIVER-BASIN ; WATER |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001433609900001 |
| 出版者 | AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/213305]  |
| 专题 | 陆地水循环及地表过程院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Bai, Peng; Tian, Yuan |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modelling, Lhasa Natl Ecol Res Stn, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yang, Zelong,Bai, Peng,Tian, Yuan,et al. Glacier Coverage Dominates the Response of Runoff and Its Components to Climate Change in the Tianshan Mountains[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2025,61(3):e2024WR037947. |
| APA | Yang, Zelong,Bai, Peng,Tian, Yuan,&Liu, Xiaomang.(2025).Glacier Coverage Dominates the Response of Runoff and Its Components to Climate Change in the Tianshan Mountains.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,61(3),e2024WR037947. |
| MLA | Yang, Zelong,et al."Glacier Coverage Dominates the Response of Runoff and Its Components to Climate Change in the Tianshan Mountains".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 61.3(2025):e2024WR037947. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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