Historical trends and future projections of compound cloudy-rainy events during the global winter wheat harvest phase
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Gao, Xuan1; Dong, Jinwei1; Zhou, Sha2; Tao, Fulu1; Zhao, Dongsheng1; Zhang, Xi1; Zhang, Qiang1; Chen, Ziwei1; Ge, Quansheng1 |
| 刊名 | AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-08-15 |
| 卷号 | 371页码:110637 |
| 关键词 | Compound cloudy-rainy events Winter wheat Harvest phase Climate change |
| ISSN号 | 0168-1923 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.agrformet.2025.110637 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Compound cloudy-rainy events (CCREs), characterized by prolonged rainfall and extensive cloud cover, when occurring during the harvest phase, could adversely affect the drying, harvesting, and transportation of mature grains, and even lead to grain mold and sprouting. However, existing studies have focused more on the growth phases, while trends in CCREs during the harvest phase have been largely undocumented. Here we investigated the spatial-temporal variations of CCREs during the harvest phase of winter wheat globally for the historical (1985-2022) and future (2015-2074) periods. Our results reveal a significant decrease in CCREs during the winter wheat harvest phase on a global scale across the two periods. Spatially, reduced cloudy-rainy days cover about 60 % of the winter wheat-producing area. Additionally, the trend patterns of CCREs exhibit considerable spatial heterogeneity. Specifically, pronounced increases are primarily located in eastern North America, western Europe, and eastern Asia, where agricultural mechanization levels are higher. Meanwhile, the asynchronous trends between cloudy days and rainy days lead to spatial variability in the underlying causes of the observed increases in CCREs across these regions. Overall, the results of this study provide novel insights into agricultural climate mitigation and adaptation for global food security. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | PREHARVEST SPROUTING RESISTANCE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CROP PRODUCTION ; FOOD SECURITY ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; AEROSOLS ; COVER ; SIMULATION ; IMPACTS |
| WOS研究方向 | Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001498384700002 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/214593]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Dong, Jinwei; Ge, Quansheng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 2.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gao, Xuan,Dong, Jinwei,Zhou, Sha,et al. Historical trends and future projections of compound cloudy-rainy events during the global winter wheat harvest phase[J]. AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,2025,371:110637. |
| APA | Gao, Xuan.,Dong, Jinwei.,Zhou, Sha.,Tao, Fulu.,Zhao, Dongsheng.,...&Ge, Quansheng.(2025).Historical trends and future projections of compound cloudy-rainy events during the global winter wheat harvest phase.AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,371,110637. |
| MLA | Gao, Xuan,et al."Historical trends and future projections of compound cloudy-rainy events during the global winter wheat harvest phase".AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY 371(2025):110637. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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