中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Study on the Snowfall Amount Triggering Regional Avalanches in Southeastern Tibet

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Wei, Haozhuo1,2; Wang, Yan1; Wang, Shaoliang3; Hao, Jiansheng1; Chen, Guoqing1; Fu, Xiaoqian1
刊名WATER
出版日期2025-05-27
卷号17期号:11页码:1631
关键词extreme events heavy snowfall snow avalanche threshold study
DOI10.3390/w17111631
产权排序1
文献子类Article
英文摘要Global climate warming has exacerbated extreme snowfall events. The Southeastern Tibet (ST) region has become a high-incidence area for avalanches due to its unique topographical and climatic conditions. However, current research has paid insufficient attention to the thresholds for avalanches triggered by extreme snowfall. Therefore, the aim of this study is to construct the I-D (intensity-duration) thresholds for avalanche events triggered by extreme snowfall in southeastern Tibet, providing a scientific basis for disaster prevention and mitigation work in this region. Based on the snowfall data from 1951 to 2020, this study calculated four extreme snowfall indices, namely SF1d, SF90p, SF95p, and SF99p, to determine extreme snowfall events. And 33 avalanche events during this period were verified through the confusion matrix. This study found that the intensity of extreme snowfall events in southeastern Tibet has increased while the frequency has decreased. The I-D threshold parameters alpha (from 5.79 to 14.88) and beta (from -2.81 to -0.66) within the study area were determined, and the overall threshold is I = 9.29 x D-2.27 (D represents the duration of snowfall, with the unit being days.). It was also found that extreme snowfall in the study area has a significant positive correlation in with the ST. The terrain has a greater impact on the snowfall intensity, but its regulation on the duration of events is limited. Overall, in southeastern Tibet, if the single-day snowfall exceeds 12.38 mm (the regional average value of the SF1d index) or the cumulative snowfall within the previous 30 days exceeds 64.85 mm (the regional average value of the three indices of SF90p, SF95p, and SF99p), it can be considered that an extreme snowfall event has occurred. At the same time, the threshold of I = 9.29 x D-2.27 can be used to forecast avalanches triggered by extreme snowfall events in the entire region.
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WOS关键词EXTREME SNOWFALL ; PRECIPITATION ; EVENTS ; TEMPERATURE ; PLATEAU ; WESTERN ; RISK
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001507528000001
出版者MDPI
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/214641]  
专题陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Wang, Yan
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
2.Tianjin Normal Univ, Sch Geog & Environm Sci, Tianjin 300387, Peoples R China;
3.Yajiang Clean Energy Sci & Technol Res Beijing Co, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wei, Haozhuo,Wang, Yan,Wang, Shaoliang,et al. Study on the Snowfall Amount Triggering Regional Avalanches in Southeastern Tibet[J]. WATER,2025,17(11):1631.
APA Wei, Haozhuo,Wang, Yan,Wang, Shaoliang,Hao, Jiansheng,Chen, Guoqing,&Fu, Xiaoqian.(2025).Study on the Snowfall Amount Triggering Regional Avalanches in Southeastern Tibet.WATER,17(11),1631.
MLA Wei, Haozhuo,et al."Study on the Snowfall Amount Triggering Regional Avalanches in Southeastern Tibet".WATER 17.11(2025):1631.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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