Threat posed by rising lake levels on the Tibetan Plateau: take Qinghai Lake for example
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yu, Hu1,2; Liu, Chaoyi1,2; Ning, Zhizhong1 |
| 刊名 | ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-07-01 |
| 卷号 | 176页码:113716 |
| 关键词 | Climate-driven hydrological variations Socio-economic impact assessment Rising lake levels Dynamic adaptation strategy Qinghai Lake |
| ISSN号 | 1470-160X |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolind.2025.113716 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Climate-driven hydrological variations in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau lakes demand urgent integration into regional ecological governance frameworks. Despite growing concerns over plateau lake expansion, critical research gaps persist in understanding coupled hydrological-social system dynamics, particularly the absence of robust socio-economic impact assessment models. This paper addresses the global scientific challenge of quantifying hydrological-environmental-economic interdependencies in plateau and alpine lake systems, using Qinghai Lake as a representative case. Through multidisciplinary analysis combining seven decades of limnological monitoring data, we reveal a bimodal water level evolution pattern characterized by the descent and the stable expansion. Our ensemble modeling predicts 2.83 m lake level rise by 2050 under CMIP6 scenario. The socio-economic vulnerability assessment identifies four critical exposure domains: the settlements around the lake, infrastructure, tourist areas and land use, estimating that the annual economic loss will reach as high as $1.06 billion, equivalent to 44.8 % of regional GDP, with cascading effects on ecological migration and sustainable development goals. These findings establish a novel assessment framework for climate-responsive policy formulation in fragile alpine ecosystems while providing methodological advancements in coupled human-water system modeling. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CHINA ; WATER ; ENSEMBLE ; BASIN |
| WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001511543800010 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/214601]  |
| 专题 | 区域可持续发展分析与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Liu, Chaoyi |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yu, Hu,Liu, Chaoyi,Ning, Zhizhong. Threat posed by rising lake levels on the Tibetan Plateau: take Qinghai Lake for example[J]. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,2025,176:113716. |
| APA | Yu, Hu,Liu, Chaoyi,&Ning, Zhizhong.(2025).Threat posed by rising lake levels on the Tibetan Plateau: take Qinghai Lake for example.ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS,176,113716. |
| MLA | Yu, Hu,et al."Threat posed by rising lake levels on the Tibetan Plateau: take Qinghai Lake for example".ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS 176(2025):113716. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。