中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Addressing accuracy challenges in machine learning for debris flow susceptibility: Insights from the Yalong River basin

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Ming, Zaiyang3,4,5; Zhang, Jianqiang5; He, Haiqing3,4; Zhang, Lili2,5; Chen, Rong5; Jia, Yang1
刊名JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE
出版日期2025-06-01
卷号22期号:6页码:2034-2052
关键词Debris flow Susceptibility mapping Accuracy assessment Yalong River basin Machine learning SHapley Additive exPlanations
ISSN号1672-6316
DOI10.1007/s11629-024-9316-2
英文摘要

Machine learning-based Debris Flow Susceptibility Mapping (DFSM) has emerged as an effective approach for assessing debris flow likelihood, yet its application faces three critical challenges: insufficient reliability of training samples caused by biased negative sampling, opaque decision-making mechanisms in models, and subjective susceptibility mapping methods that lack quantitative evaluation criteria. This study focuses on the Yalong River basin. By integrating high-resolution remote sensing interpretation and field surveys, we established a refined sample database that includes 1,736 debris flow gullies. To address spatial bias in traditional random negative sampling, we developed a semi-supervised optimization strategy based on iterative confidence screening. Comparative experiments with four tree-based models (XGBoost, CatBoost, LGBM, and Random Forest) reveal that the optimized sampling strategy improved overall model performance by 8%-12%, with XGBoost achieving the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.882) and RF performing the lowest (AUC = 0.820). SHAP-based global-local interpretability analysis (applicable to all tree models) identifies elevation and short-duration rainfall as dominant controlling factors. Furthermore, among the tested tree-based models, XGBoost optimized with semi-supervised sampling demonstrates the highest reliability in debris flow susceptibility mapping (DFSM), achieving a comprehensive accuracy of 83.64% due to its optimal generalization-stability equilibrium.

WOS关键词CNN
资助项目Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research, Ministry of Science and Technology[2019QZKK0902] ; West Light Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[E3R2120] ; Research Programme of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences[IMHE-ZDRW-01]
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001509181800011
出版者SCIENCE PRESS
资助机构Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research, Ministry of Science and Technology ; West Light Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Research Programme of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences
源URL[http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/58983]  
专题成都山地灾害与环境研究所_山地灾害与地表过程重点实验室
通讯作者Zhang, Jianqiang
作者单位1.Sichuan Highway Planning Survey Design & Res Inst, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Minist Nat Resources, Key Lab Mine Environm Monitoring & Improving Poyan, Nanchang 330013, Peoples R China
4.East China Univ Technol, Sch Surveying & Geoinformat Engn, Nanchang 330013, Peoples R China
5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ming, Zaiyang,Zhang, Jianqiang,He, Haiqing,et al. Addressing accuracy challenges in machine learning for debris flow susceptibility: Insights from the Yalong River basin[J]. JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,2025,22(6):2034-2052.
APA Ming, Zaiyang,Zhang, Jianqiang,He, Haiqing,Zhang, Lili,Chen, Rong,&Jia, Yang.(2025).Addressing accuracy challenges in machine learning for debris flow susceptibility: Insights from the Yalong River basin.JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,22(6),2034-2052.
MLA Ming, Zaiyang,et al."Addressing accuracy challenges in machine learning for debris flow susceptibility: Insights from the Yalong River basin".JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE 22.6(2025):2034-2052.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所

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