Addressing accuracy challenges in machine learning for debris flow susceptibility: Insights from the Yalong River basin
文献类型:期刊论文
| 作者 | Ming, Zaiyang3,4,5; Zhang, Jianqiang5 ; He, Haiqing3,4; Zhang, Lili2,5; Chen, Rong5 ; Jia, Yang1
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| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE
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| 出版日期 | 2025-06-01 |
| 卷号 | 22期号:6页码:2034-2052 |
| 关键词 | Debris flow Susceptibility mapping Accuracy assessment Yalong River basin Machine learning SHapley Additive exPlanations |
| ISSN号 | 1672-6316 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11629-024-9316-2 |
| 英文摘要 | Machine learning-based Debris Flow Susceptibility Mapping (DFSM) has emerged as an effective approach for assessing debris flow likelihood, yet its application faces three critical challenges: insufficient reliability of training samples caused by biased negative sampling, opaque decision-making mechanisms in models, and subjective susceptibility mapping methods that lack quantitative evaluation criteria. This study focuses on the Yalong River basin. By integrating high-resolution remote sensing interpretation and field surveys, we established a refined sample database that includes 1,736 debris flow gullies. To address spatial bias in traditional random negative sampling, we developed a semi-supervised optimization strategy based on iterative confidence screening. Comparative experiments with four tree-based models (XGBoost, CatBoost, LGBM, and Random Forest) reveal that the optimized sampling strategy improved overall model performance by 8%-12%, with XGBoost achieving the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.882) and RF performing the lowest (AUC = 0.820). SHAP-based global-local interpretability analysis (applicable to all tree models) identifies elevation and short-duration rainfall as dominant controlling factors. Furthermore, among the tested tree-based models, XGBoost optimized with semi-supervised sampling demonstrates the highest reliability in debris flow susceptibility mapping (DFSM), achieving a comprehensive accuracy of 83.64% due to its optimal generalization-stability equilibrium. |
| WOS关键词 | CNN |
| 资助项目 | Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research, Ministry of Science and Technology[2019QZKK0902] ; West Light Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[E3R2120] ; Research Programme of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences[IMHE-ZDRW-01] |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001509181800011 |
| 出版者 | SCIENCE PRESS |
| 资助机构 | Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research, Ministry of Science and Technology ; West Light Foundation of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Research Programme of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences |
| 源URL | [http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/58983] ![]() |
| 专题 | 成都山地灾害与环境研究所_山地灾害与地表过程重点实验室 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Jianqiang |
| 作者单位 | 1.Sichuan Highway Planning Survey Design & Res Inst, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 3.Minist Nat Resources, Key Lab Mine Environm Monitoring & Improving Poyan, Nanchang 330013, Peoples R China 4.East China Univ Technol, Sch Surveying & Geoinformat Engn, Nanchang 330013, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Chengdu 610041, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ming, Zaiyang,Zhang, Jianqiang,He, Haiqing,et al. Addressing accuracy challenges in machine learning for debris flow susceptibility: Insights from the Yalong River basin[J]. JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,2025,22(6):2034-2052. |
| APA | Ming, Zaiyang,Zhang, Jianqiang,He, Haiqing,Zhang, Lili,Chen, Rong,&Jia, Yang.(2025).Addressing accuracy challenges in machine learning for debris flow susceptibility: Insights from the Yalong River basin.JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE,22(6),2034-2052. |
| MLA | Ming, Zaiyang,et al."Addressing accuracy challenges in machine learning for debris flow susceptibility: Insights from the Yalong River basin".JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE 22.6(2025):2034-2052. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:成都山地灾害与环境研究所
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