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LEAP model-based analysis to low-carbon transformation path in the power sector: a case study of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

文献类型：期刊论文

作者Xu, Mengke1,2,3; Liao, Cuiping1,2,3,4; Huang, Ying2,3,5; Gao, Xiaoquan2,3; Dong, Genglin1,2,3; Liu, Zhen2,3
刊名SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
出版日期2024-03-28
卷号14期号:1页码:18
关键词Carbon emission LEAP Power Cost Low-carbon transition
ISSN号2045-2322
DOI10.1038/s41598-024-57703-w
通讯作者Liao, Cuiping(liaocp@ms.giec.ac.cn) ; Huang, Ying(huangying@ms.giec.ac.cn)
英文摘要As a major carbon emitter, the power sector plays a crucial role in realizing the goal of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. This study constructed a low-carbon power system based on the LEAP model (LEAP-GBA) with 2020 as a statistic base aiming of exploring the low-carbon transformation pathway of the power sector in the Guangdong-Hong Kong, and Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA). Five scenarios are set up to simulate the demand, power generation structure, carbon emissions, and power generation costs in the power sector under different scenarios. The results indicate that total electricity demand will peak after 2050, with 80% of it coming from industry, buildings and residential use. To achieve net-zero emissions from the power sector in the GBA, a future power generation mix dominated by nuclear and renewable energy generation and supplemented by fossil energy generation equipped with CCUS technologies. BECCS technology and nuclear power are the key to realize zero carbon emissions from the power sector in the GBA, so it should be the first to promote BECCS technology testing and commercial application, improve the deployment of nuclear power sites, and push forward the construction of nuclear power and technology improvement in the next 40 years.
WOS关键词ELECTRICITY DEMAND ; SCENARIOS
资助项目Collaborative Research Fund project entitled Turning 2060 Carbon Neutrality into Reality: a cross-disciplinary Study of Air Pollution and Health Co-benefits of Climate Change Mitigation of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) of the Hong[C7041- 21GF] ; Science and technology projects of Zhejiang Province[2022C03168]
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001197657500023
出版者NATURE PORTFOLIO
资助机构Collaborative Research Fund project entitled Turning 2060 Carbon Neutrality into Reality: a cross-disciplinary Study of Air Pollution and Health Co-benefits of Climate Change Mitigation of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area (GBA) of the Hong ; Science and technology projects of Zhejiang Province
源URL[http://ir.giec.ac.cn/handle/344007/41509]  
专题中国科学院广州能源研究所
通讯作者Liao, Cuiping; Huang, Ying
作者单位1.Univ Sci & Technol China, Sch Energy Sci & Engn, Hefei 230026, Anhui, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Guangzhou Inst Energy Convers, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, Peoples R China
3.Guangdong Prov Key Lab New & Renewable Energy Res, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, Peoples R China
4.CAS Key Lab Renewable Energy, Guangzhou 510640, Guangdong, Peoples R China
5.Univ Sci & Technol China, Sch Engn Sci, Hefei 230026, Anhui, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714		 Xu, Mengke,Liao, Cuiping,Huang, Ying,et al. LEAP model-based analysis to low-carbon transformation path in the power sector: a case study of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2024,14(1):18.
APA Xu, Mengke,Liao, Cuiping,Huang, Ying,Gao, Xiaoquan,Dong, Genglin,&Liu, Zhen.(2024).LEAP model-based analysis to low-carbon transformation path in the power sector: a case study of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,14(1),18.
MLA Xu, Mengke,et al."LEAP model-based analysis to low-carbon transformation path in the power sector: a case study of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 14.1(2024):18.

入库方式： OAI收割

来源：广州能源研究所

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