Exploring the intersection between coastal flood hazards and socioeconomic exposure: Evidence from China's coastal zone
文献类型:期刊论文
| 作者 | Xu, He1,3; Hou, Xiyong2; Zhang, Baolei1; Bray, Michaela3; Pan, Shunqi3; Huang, Hao1 |
| 刊名 | JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
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| 出版日期 | 2025-10-01 |
| 卷号 | 393页码:13 |
| 关键词 | Coastal flood hazards Socioeconomic exposure China's coastal zone Adaptation strategies Coastal flood hazards Socioeconomic exposure Bivariate local Moran's I China's coastal zone Adaptation strategies |
| ISSN号 | 0301-4797 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.127072 |
| 英文摘要 | Sea level rise and consequent coastal flooding pose an increasing threat to socioeconomic stability globally, particularly in China's coastal zone (CCZ). However, the long-term spatial correlations between coastal flood hazards (CFH) and socioeconomic exposure (SEE) remain unclear, thereby limiting the accuracy of coastal flood risk assessments. Consequently, novel frameworks are necessary for effective risk management and adaptation strategies. This study employs the Bivariate Local Moran's I approach to analyze the spatiotemporal intersection patterns between CFH and SEE from 2030 to 2100 in the CCZ under various Representative Concentration Pathway-Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (RCP-SSP) scenarios. CFH is evaluated using a depth-affected function, while SEE is quantified through the analytic hierarchy process-entropy weighting (AHP-EW) method. The results indicate that the areas of "High-High" clusters (regions where higher CFH levels are surrounded by higher SEE levels) will increase to 10.26 x 10(3) km(2), 11.86 x 10(3) km(2), and 14.33 x 10(3) km(2) by 2100 under the RCP2.6-SSP1, RCP4.5-SSP2, and RCP8.5-SSP5 scenarios, respectively. These clusters are primarily located in Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Zhejiang, where immediate and robust interventions are essential to protect human and economic assets. By contrast, the areas of "High-Low" clusters (regions where higher CFH levels are surrounded by lower SEE levels) will expand to 17.78 x 10(3) km(2), 16.15 x 10(3) km(2), and 17.31 x 10(3) km(2) by 2100 under the RCP2.6-SSP1, RCP4.5-SSP2, and RCP8.5-SSP5 scenarios, respectively. These clusters are mainly located in Jiangsu, Shandong, and Shanghai, where long-term preventive risk management measures are recommended. By 2100, the GDP and population in the "High-High" clusters are projected to reach $2675.32 billion (13.17 million people), respectively, under the RCP8.5-SSP5 scenario, representing the most severe threat to both economic and population stability. These findings underscore the importance of applying a differentiated risk management approach when formulating coastal flood adaptation policies, as well as providing valuable insights for enhancing the resilience of vulnerable areas in the CCZ to climate change. |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001594824500006 |
| 源URL | [http://ir.yic.ac.cn/handle/133337/41515] ![]() |
| 专题 | 烟台海岸带研究所_海岸带信息集成与综合管理实验室 |
| 通讯作者 | Zhang, Baolei |
| 作者单位 | 1.Shandong Normal Univ, Coll Geog & Environm, Jinan, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Yantai Inst Coastal Zone Res, Yantai, Shandong, Peoples R China 3.Cardiff Univ, Hydroenvironm Res Ctr, Sch Engn, Cardiff, Wales |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Xu, He,Hou, Xiyong,Zhang, Baolei,et al. Exploring the intersection between coastal flood hazards and socioeconomic exposure: Evidence from China's coastal zone[J]. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,2025,393:13. |
| APA | Xu, He,Hou, Xiyong,Zhang, Baolei,Bray, Michaela,Pan, Shunqi,&Huang, Hao.(2025).Exploring the intersection between coastal flood hazards and socioeconomic exposure: Evidence from China's coastal zone.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,393,13. |
| MLA | Xu, He,et al."Exploring the intersection between coastal flood hazards and socioeconomic exposure: Evidence from China's coastal zone".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 393(2025):13. |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:烟台海岸带研究所
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