Synergies and trade-offs among atmospheric drivers reshape photovoltaic potential in China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Guo, Jiaju1,5; Hou, Wenjuan5; Zhang, Lunwei4; Wu, Shaohong1,5; Zhang, Xueliang2; Cheng, Lining3 |
| 刊名 | ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW
 |
| 出版日期 | 2026-03-01 |
| 卷号 | 117页码:108216 |
| 关键词 | Synergies and trade-offs Photovoltaic potential Atmospheric drivers Aerosols Air-pollution mitigation |
| ISSN号 | 0195-9255 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108216 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Photovoltaic (PV) power generation plays a vital role in the transition toward carbon neutrality and sustainable energy systems. However, atmospheric drivers exhibit high spatiotemporal complexity and often opposing effects on solar radiation, complicating PV potential assessment and planning. This study employed a comprehensive framework and multi-source data to quantify PV potential across China (1990-2023), analyze its spatiotemporal dynamics, and reveal multi-factor contribution patterns. Results show that despite China's substantial PV potential (120.09 PWh annually), declining POAI (-11.80 kWh m- 2/decade) has reduced PV potential by -0.79 PWh/decade, with marked interannual variability. Atmospheric drivers, particularly aerosols, cloud cover, and water vapor, play dominant roles in shaping these patterns, accounting for over 93 % of relative importance after excluding topographic and locational factors. Specifically, aerosol effects exhibit a sinusoidal temporal pattern and influence PV potential through their interactions with clouds and water vapor. Although synergistic effects are observed in a minority of regions, most are characterized by trade-offs or antagonisms effects, with 70.56 % of 126,106 spatiotemporal samples showing such dynamics. Air pollution control measures have enhanced PV potential, yet these gains are often offset by adverse meteorological changes. After 2008, 78.27 % of the regions with significant PV changes-especially in coastal and northwestern China-experienced increased cloud cover or water vapor, reducing benefits from improved air quality. In 39.06 % of these regions, such changes significantly offset the benefits of emission mitigation. These findings highlight the dynamic interplay between environmental and anthropogenic factors, offering insights for environmental impact assessment and sustainable solar planning in emerging markets worldwide. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | SOLAR-ENERGY PRODUCTION ; AIR-POLLUTION ; DUST |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001599088600004 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/217785]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Hou, Wenjuan |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China 2.China Agr Univ, Coll Land Sci & Technol, Beijing 100193, Peoples R China; 3.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Satellite Meteorol Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China; 4.Univ Birmingham, Sch Geog Earth & Environm Sci, Birmingham B15 2TT, England; 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guo, Jiaju,Hou, Wenjuan,Zhang, Lunwei,et al. Synergies and trade-offs among atmospheric drivers reshape photovoltaic potential in China[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW,2026,117:108216. |
| APA | Guo, Jiaju,Hou, Wenjuan,Zhang, Lunwei,Wu, Shaohong,Zhang, Xueliang,&Cheng, Lining.(2026).Synergies and trade-offs among atmospheric drivers reshape photovoltaic potential in China.ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW,117,108216. |
| MLA | Guo, Jiaju,et al."Synergies and trade-offs among atmospheric drivers reshape photovoltaic potential in China".ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW 117(2026):108216. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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