Synergistic effects of warming and heavy snowfall accumulation on the increased risk of large-scale snow avalanches in the western Tianshan Mountains
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Chen, Guo-Qing2,3; Hao, Jian-Sheng2; Li, Lan-Hai4; Wang, Yan2; Zhang, Fen1; Li, Chao-Yue2; Zhang, Yong2 |
| 刊名 | ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-12-01 |
| 卷号 | 16期号:6页码:1259-1270 |
| 关键词 | Snow avalanche Dendrochronological analysis Climate change Tianshan Mountains |
| ISSN号 | 1674-9278 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.accre.2025.09.009 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Climate change has increased temperatures and altered snowpack properties, which in turn affect avalanche activity. The extent to which climate change affects avalanche activity and how avalanche activity responds to climate change remains poorly understood, which hinders avalanche risk assessments under future climate change. In this study, we applied tree-ring evidence from trees affected by avalanches to reproduce historical avalanche events and then combined the observed meteorological and snowpack data to reveal the response mechanism of avalanche activity to climate change in the Tianshan Mountains. The study found that snow seasons with largescale avalanche events have increased since 1943, which is contrary to the assumption that less snow under a warming climate reduces the risk of avalanches. Snow seasons in which large-scale avalanches occur are characterised by high snow depth in November (>44.4 cm) and April (>60.9 cm), together with low December temperatures (<-1.9 degrees C) under heavy snowfall (>= 34.4 cm). Under climate change, the study area experienced a marked increase in snow-season temperatures along with rising trends in snow depth and heavy snowfall, leading to elevated avalanche risk in the middle altitudes of the western Tianshan Mountains, where human activities are intensive. This study provides a clear understanding of avalanche risk changes in the region under climate change and helps people propose climate-change adaptation strategies for avalanche risk. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | GLACIER-NATIONAL-PARK ; TRAUMATIC RESIN DUCTS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TREE-RINGS ; FRENCH ALPS ; FLOW ; DENDROGEOMORPHOLOGY ; MONTANA ; RECONSTRUCTIONS ; PRECIPITATION |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001644338200001 |
| 出版者 | KEAI PUBLISHING LTD |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/219424]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Yan |
| 作者单位 | 1.Lanzhou Univ, Coll Earth & Environm Sci, Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Minist Educ, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, Key Lab Water Cycle & Utilizat Arid Zone, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen, Guo-Qing,Hao, Jian-Sheng,Li, Lan-Hai,et al. Synergistic effects of warming and heavy snowfall accumulation on the increased risk of large-scale snow avalanches in the western Tianshan Mountains[J]. ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,2025,16(6):1259-1270. |
| APA | Chen, Guo-Qing.,Hao, Jian-Sheng.,Li, Lan-Hai.,Wang, Yan.,Zhang, Fen.,...&Zhang, Yong.(2025).Synergistic effects of warming and heavy snowfall accumulation on the increased risk of large-scale snow avalanches in the western Tianshan Mountains.ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH,16(6),1259-1270. |
| MLA | Chen, Guo-Qing,et al."Synergistic effects of warming and heavy snowfall accumulation on the increased risk of large-scale snow avalanches in the western Tianshan Mountains".ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH 16.6(2025):1259-1270. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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