Subpolar North Atlantic decadal cooling may have aggravated recent Eastern Siberian wildfires
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zeng, Yuhao1,4; Wang, Jun4; Chen, Shangfeng2; Sun, Cheng3; Wu, Chaoyang4; Zheng, Jingyun4; Ge, Quansheng1,4 |
| 刊名 | NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-12-24 |
| 卷号 | 17期号:1页码:185 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41467-025-66520-2 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Recent wildfire outbreaks in Eastern Siberia herald far-reaching impacts on air quality and carbon balance. While anthropogenic warming is identified as the primary driver of increased wildfire risk, the role of internal climate variability remains unclear. Here, we perform an attribution analysis to reveal the impact of internal climate variability on the recent escalation of wildfires, using causal inference, path analysis, and large ensemble simulations. Our results show that the soaring wildfires in Eastern Siberia from 2001 to 2021 were mainly induced by a decline in fire-season precipitation of 16 mm decade-1, which accounts for approximately 42% of the observed increase in burned area. This declining precipitation was likely partially associated with concurrent unforced subpolar North Atlantic decadal cooling, which excited a Rossby wave train throughout high-latitude Eurasia, generating an anticyclonic circulation anomaly over Eastern Siberia. Our findings highlight the potential for internal climate variability to impact future wildfire risk. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; PRECIPITATION ; TREND ; FIRE |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001656367600002 |
| 出版者 | NATURE PORTFOLIO |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/219790]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Jun; Ge, Quansheng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, State Key Lab Earth Syst Numer Modeling & Applicat, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Remote Sensing & Digital Earth, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zeng, Yuhao,Wang, Jun,Chen, Shangfeng,et al. Subpolar North Atlantic decadal cooling may have aggravated recent Eastern Siberian wildfires[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2025,17(1):185. |
| APA | Zeng, Yuhao.,Wang, Jun.,Chen, Shangfeng.,Sun, Cheng.,Wu, Chaoyang.,...&Ge, Quansheng.(2025).Subpolar North Atlantic decadal cooling may have aggravated recent Eastern Siberian wildfires.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,17(1),185. |
| MLA | Zeng, Yuhao,et al."Subpolar North Atlantic decadal cooling may have aggravated recent Eastern Siberian wildfires".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 17.1(2025):185. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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