Impacts of climate change and land use dynamics on soil erosion in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Rashad, Eslam2,3,4; Liu, Yujie2,3; Shi, Zhaoyang2,3; Refaee, Ahmed1,3,5; Pan, Tao2,3 |
| 刊名 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2026-01-13 |
| 卷号 | 16期号:1页码:4399 |
| 关键词 | Climate change Soil erosion Qinghai-Tibet plateau Land use change modeling InVEST model CMIP6 |
| ISSN号 | 2045-2322 |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41598-025-34550-x |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Soil erosion (SE) caused by water is exacerbated by climate change and human activity, threatening water resources and ecological stability. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), with its unique ecosystem and river systems, is heavily influenced by sedimentation linked to water- induced SE. This study evaluates current SE patterns on the QTP and forecasts soil loss for 2050 and 2090 to identify priority areas for soil and water conservation. SE trends from 1985 to 2020 were conducted using the InVEST model. The CA-Markov model, in conjunction with CMIP6 climate projections, was employed to predict SE under varying land use and cover (LUCC) and climate change scenarios for the future. The results show that the average annual SE on the QTP stands at 20.02 t h(-)(1) ya(-)(1) from 1985 to 2020. Under the LUCC scenarios, SE projected to decrease by 0.2% by 2050 and by 2.24% by 2090. However, in climate change scenarios, SE is expected to rise significantly, increasing by 15.71% and 16.73% by 2050 according to the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 pathways, respectively. By 2090, SE is expected to grow by 22.44% and 28.57% according to SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5. These findings indicate that climate change, rather than LUCC, is the dominant driver of future SE on the QTP. The results provide critical insights for watershed-scale soil and water management, supporting ecological conservation strategies in this climate-sensitive region. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | SEDIMENT YIELD ; LS-FACTOR ; WATER ; CATCHMENT ; TRENDS ; RUSLE ; RIVER |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001679180500001 |
| 出版者 | NATURE PORTFOLIO |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/221043]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Rashad, Eslam; Liu, Yujie; Pan, Tao |
| 作者单位 | 1.South Valley Univ, Fac Sci, Geol Dept, Qena 83523, Egypt 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; 4.Damietta Univ, Fac Sci, Geol Dept, New Damietta 34517, Egypt; 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rashad, Eslam,Liu, Yujie,Shi, Zhaoyang,et al. Impacts of climate change and land use dynamics on soil erosion in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2026,16(1):4399. |
| APA | Rashad, Eslam,Liu, Yujie,Shi, Zhaoyang,Refaee, Ahmed,&Pan, Tao.(2026).Impacts of climate change and land use dynamics on soil erosion in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,16(1),4399. |
| MLA | Rashad, Eslam,et al."Impacts of climate change and land use dynamics on soil erosion in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 16.1(2026):4399. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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