中国科学院机构知识库网格
Chinese Academy of Sciences Institutional Repositories Grid
Climate Suitability Regionalization of Geographical Indication Rice in Xinjiang, China

文献类型:期刊论文

作者Li, Xiaofu3; Sun, Xuejing1,3; Wang, Shiyao3; Hao, Zhixin2; Li, Xiufen3
刊名SUSTAINABILITY
出版日期2026-02-25
卷号18期号:5页码:2232
关键词geographical indication rice MaxEnt model suitable cultivation area
DOI10.3390/su18052232
产权排序3
文献子类Article
英文摘要As an important agricultural product in China's Xinjiang, geographical indication rice holds significant value for the development of regional specialty agriculture and contributes to the growth of farmer income. Using the MaxEnt model, this study simulated its suitable cultivation areas. Results showed high model accuracy (mean AUC = 0.954) and identified precipitation factors-especially in the driest quarter and month-as dominant influences, with a combined contribution of 75.6% (bio_15 + bio_17 + bio_14 + bio_19). Historically, suitable areas were mainly in mid-western Northern Xinjiang and southwestern Tianshan, covering 43.23 & times; 104 km2. Under future climates, these areas are projected to expand significantly to 47.35-50.50 & times; 104 km2 by 2050, with moderate suitability zones growing most, based on projections from the BCC-CSM2-MR model. By 2070, moderate and high suitability areas increase further, extending toward mid-western Northern Xinjiang and northwestern Southern Xinjiang. The cultivation centroid showed phased shifts-moving northeast by 2050, then southwest by 2070 under SSP1-2.6. These findings support optimized rice cultivation planning in Xinjiang under climate change.
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WOS关键词EXTREME EVENTS ; CULTIVATION ; PATTERN ; AREAS ; MODEL
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
语种英语
WOS记录号WOS:001713844000001
出版者MDPI
源URL[http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/221226]  
专题陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文
通讯作者Li, Xiaofu
作者单位1.Yingkou Econ & Technol Dev Zone Meteorol Bur, Yingkou 115000, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
3.Shenyang Agr Univ, Agron Coll, Shenyang 110866, Peoples R China;
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Li, Xiaofu,Sun, Xuejing,Wang, Shiyao,et al. Climate Suitability Regionalization of Geographical Indication Rice in Xinjiang, China[J]. SUSTAINABILITY,2026,18(5):2232.
APA Li, Xiaofu,Sun, Xuejing,Wang, Shiyao,Hao, Zhixin,&Li, Xiufen.(2026).Climate Suitability Regionalization of Geographical Indication Rice in Xinjiang, China.SUSTAINABILITY,18(5),2232.
MLA Li, Xiaofu,et al."Climate Suitability Regionalization of Geographical Indication Rice in Xinjiang, China".SUSTAINABILITY 18.5(2026):2232.

入库方式: OAI收割

来源:地理科学与资源研究所

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