Toward sustainable soybean supply and consumption in China under climate change and policy adaptation
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wang, Yifei1,3; Wang, Zehao4; Yu, Peiheng3; Deng, Xiangzheng1,2,3 |
| 刊名 | SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION
 |
| 出版日期 | 2026-05-01 |
| 卷号 | 64页码:235-246 |
| 关键词 | Soybean Supply chain Carbon emissions Policy simulation Climate change |
| ISSN号 | 2352-5509 |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.spc.2026.02.010 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Ensuring sustainable soybean supply and consumption under climate change is critical for global food and environmental security. China, as the world's largest soybean consumer, exerts substantial influence on global land use, trade flows, and carbon emissions through its evolving supply and consumption patterns. This study applies a computable general equilibrium model combined with an environmentally extended input-output approach to quantify how climate change and adaptive policy measures affect China's soybean supply and consumption and further transmit to the global supply chain. The results reveal that external shocks and climate stressors jointly reduce China's soybean production by up to 4.83%. Enhancing domestic self-sufficiency alone cannot close the growing demand gap, which leads to import reductions of 1.32%-8.26%. However, climate change intensifies supply risks and increases reliance on major exporters, while raising their emissions. By 2060, China's imports from Brazil and the other Latin American regions are projected to rise by 2.13%-2.82% and 2.15%-3.76%, respectively, with embodied emissions increasing by 91.90 & times; 103-124.28 & times; 103 tCO2 and 15.75 & times; 103-27.08 & times; 103 tCO2. Production subsidies could boost domestic production by 5.89%, reduce imports by 3.55%, and lower emissions by 253.54 & times; 103 tCO2. Technological advancements can mitigate climate-induced production declines by 1.36%-9.13% globally, stabilize Chinas's soybean imports within - 0.01%-0.08%, and reduce emissions by 4.78 & times; 103-45.60 & times; 103 tCO2. These adaptive strategies provide actionable insights for improving the resilience of the soybean supply chain. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | FOOD SECURITY ; IMPACTS ; COVID-19 ; ECONOMY ; IMPORTS ; WORLD ; MODEL |
| WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001715024500001 |
| 出版者 | ELSEVIER |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/221269]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Deng, Xiangzheng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 101408, Peoples R China; 2.Beijing Technol & Business Univ, Beijing 100048, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 4.China Univ Geosci Beijing, Sch Artificial Intelligence, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Yifei,Wang, Zehao,Yu, Peiheng,et al. Toward sustainable soybean supply and consumption in China under climate change and policy adaptation[J]. SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION,2026,64:235-246. |
| APA | Wang, Yifei,Wang, Zehao,Yu, Peiheng,&Deng, Xiangzheng.(2026).Toward sustainable soybean supply and consumption in China under climate change and policy adaptation.SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION,64,235-246. |
| MLA | Wang, Yifei,et al."Toward sustainable soybean supply and consumption in China under climate change and policy adaptation".SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION 64(2026):235-246. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
浏览0
下载0
收藏0
其他版本
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。