Systematic Evaluation and Correction of Extreme Water Level in Global Storm Surge Simulation
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Li, Yuqing1,2,3; Jiang, Ze3; Wu, Shaohong1,2; Gao, Jiangbo1,2; Sharma, Ashish3 |
| 刊名 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2026-03-17 |
| 卷号 | 53期号:6页码:e2025GL119793 |
| 关键词 | extreme sea levels bias correction coastal flood risk model performance quantile mapping |
| ISSN号 | 0094-8276 |
| DOI | 10.1029/2025GL119793 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Extreme sea levels resulting from storm surges are a major contributor to coastal flood risk and are often assessed using outputs from global storm surge models. However, these models exhibit systematic errors, particularly in data-sparse regions. Here, we present a novel framework to improve simulated extreme water levels. The method applies quantile mapping to peaks-over-threshold extremes, is calibrated using paired observed and simulated annual maxima at tide gauges, and transfers the correction models from reference stations to nearby sites within a defined radius. Results show that the approach achieves consistent improvements within about 400 km of gauges, with median relative improvements of -0.84 in mean squared error and -0.60 in normalized root-mean-square error. Systematic errors are reduced most in high-latitude, low-wind regions. These findings highlight the transferability of the correction models and show that even sparse observations can improve extreme sea-level estimates for global coastal hazard assessment. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | BIAS CORRECTION ; PRECIPITATION ; MODEL ; RAINFALL ; IMPROVE ; IMPACT |
| WOS研究方向 | Geology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001720349700001 |
| 出版者 | AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/221376]  |
| 专题 | 陆地表层格局与模拟院重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Sharma, Ashish |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.Univ New South Wales, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Sydney, NSW, Australia |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Li, Yuqing,Jiang, Ze,Wu, Shaohong,et al. Systematic Evaluation and Correction of Extreme Water Level in Global Storm Surge Simulation[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2026,53(6):e2025GL119793. |
| APA | Li, Yuqing,Jiang, Ze,Wu, Shaohong,Gao, Jiangbo,&Sharma, Ashish.(2026).Systematic Evaluation and Correction of Extreme Water Level in Global Storm Surge Simulation.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,53(6),e2025GL119793. |
| MLA | Li, Yuqing,et al."Systematic Evaluation and Correction of Extreme Water Level in Global Storm Surge Simulation".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 53.6(2026):e2025GL119793. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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