Streamflow changes and warming climate-induced flood risks for 1960-2016 in the Nenjiang River Basin, northeastern China
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Wang, Mengyuan1,2; Dong, Suocheng1,2; Wang, Ping1,2; Li, Zehong1,2; Liu, Shiqi1; Zhang, Shuwen4; Mei, Jie1,3 |
| 刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-12-31 |
| 卷号 | 18期号:1页码:2528646 |
| 关键词 | Streamflow climate change response flood risks Nenjiang River Basin |
| ISSN号 | 1753-8947 |
| DOI | 10.1080/17538947.2025.2528646 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Understanding streamflow changes under climate warming is critical for water resource management and disaster prevention in mid- and high-latitude regions. However, the factors driving streamflow changes remain unclear. This study investigated long-term streamflow trends, influencing factors, responses to climate change, and future flood risks in the Nenjiang River Basin, a typical mid-latitude region in Northeast China that is highly sensitive to droughts and floods. Using data from 1960 to 2016, we applied the Mann-Kendall trend and mutation tests and random forest models, and modeled streamflow responses to climate change to explore streamflow-climate interactions. Results showed significant warming (0.24-0.41 degrees C/decade, p < 0.05) and increased winter precipitation (0.77 mm/decade, p < 0.05), accompanied by declining annual and autumn streamflow (-6.03 and -3.62 mm/decade, p < 0.05), with abrupt shifts in 1963, 1996, and 2013. Climate change dominated streamflow changes, although human activities contributed 65% during 2013-2016. Streamflow responded more to precipitation than temperature, except in spring. Extreme floods occurred in 1960, 1998, and 2013. Scenario analysis (2021-2100) showed the highest flood frequency under the high-emission pathway (SSP5-8.5). These findings have crucial implications for water resource management, flood risk control, farming systems, and food security. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | KENDALL TREND TEST ; WATER-RESOURCES ; TIBETAN PLATEAU ; RUNOFF |
| WOS研究方向 | Physical Geography ; Remote Sensing |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001527657400001 |
| 出版者 | TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/215346]  |
| 专题 | 资源利用与环境修复重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Li, Zehong |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, A11 Datun Rd, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.China Univ Geosci, Wuhan, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Sci, Northeast Inst Geog & Agroecol, Changchun, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Mengyuan,Dong, Suocheng,Wang, Ping,et al. Streamflow changes and warming climate-induced flood risks for 1960-2016 in the Nenjiang River Basin, northeastern China[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH,2025,18(1):2528646. |
| APA | Wang, Mengyuan.,Dong, Suocheng.,Wang, Ping.,Li, Zehong.,Liu, Shiqi.,...&Mei, Jie.(2025).Streamflow changes and warming climate-induced flood risks for 1960-2016 in the Nenjiang River Basin, northeastern China.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH,18(1),2528646. |
| MLA | Wang, Mengyuan,et al."Streamflow changes and warming climate-induced flood risks for 1960-2016 in the Nenjiang River Basin, northeastern China".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH 18.1(2025):2528646. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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