Benefits of public awareness in mitigating cystic echinococcosis risk in Western China: A climate and socio-economic perspective
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yin, Fang2; Meng, Wenrui2; Fan, Peiwei3,4; Shi, Yue5; Chen, Shuai3; Liang, Yongchun6; Yao, Jianyi5; Wang, Yeping5; Xue, Chuizhao7; Han, Shuai7 |
| 刊名 | PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-07-01 |
| 卷号 | 19期号:7页码:e0013182 |
| ISSN号 | 1935-2735 |
| DOI | 10.1371/journal.pntd.0013182 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Background The prevalence of cystic echinococcosis (CE), a widespread zoonotic disease, imposes a significant public health burden, especially in western China. However, under the background of global change, how to meet the challenge of the future risk of CE remains unclear. As global climate change, land use changes, and socio-economic factors continue to progress, the spread and intensity of CE may potentially worsen, making it crucial to assess and mitigate future risks.Methods By employing Bayesian additive regression trees model to develop risk models for CE in animal hosts (cattle, sheep and dogs) and humans, this study mapped the current distribution of infection risk for CE and projected future risks under the SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. The projections considered both constant and increased rates of public awareness rates regarding CE prevention in the future.Results Current simulations indicate that the regions with a high risk of CE infection are primarily concentrated in Tibet, Qinghai, Gansu, and Xinjiang. Future projections suggest that heightened CE risks will be experienced in regions such as Yunnan, Gansu, and Sichuan will experience heightened CE risks. Notably, predictions suggest that increased public awareness is estimated to be linked to accompanied by a reduction of the population at risk by 2.72% to 3.35% in western China by 2030.Conclusion This research offers a comprehensive understanding of the future distribution of epidemic risk for CE under climate and socio-economic changes. It highlights that enhancing public awareness regions with high-risk is a critical factor associated with reduced infection rates. Furthermore, the study offers a valuable framework for assessing the risk associated with other zoonotic diseases. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | TRANSMISSION ; IMPACT ; HYDATIDOSIS ; PREVALENCE ; PROGRESS ; HUMANS |
| WOS研究方向 | Infectious Diseases ; Parasitology ; Tropical Medicine |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001525677600006 |
| 出版者 | PUBLIC LIBRARY SCIENCE |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/215402]  |
| 专题 | 资源利用与环境修复重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Zheng, Canjun; Dong, Jiping; Ding, Fangyu; Ma, Tian |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Aerosp Informat Res Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Changan Univ, Sch Land Engn, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R China; 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China; 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Resources & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China; 5.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China; 6.Changan Univ, Sch Earth Sci & Resources, Xian, Shaanxi, Peoples R China; 7.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Inst Parasit Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; 8.Univ Oxford, Ctr Trop Med & Global Hlth, Nuffield Dept Med, Oxford, England; 9.Mahidol Univ, Fac Trop Med, Mahidol Oxford Trop Med Res Unit, Bangkok, Thailand; 10.Tibet Univ, Sch Engn, Lhasa, Tibet, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yin, Fang,Meng, Wenrui,Fan, Peiwei,et al. Benefits of public awareness in mitigating cystic echinococcosis risk in Western China: A climate and socio-economic perspective[J]. PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES,2025,19(7):e0013182. |
| APA | Yin, Fang.,Meng, Wenrui.,Fan, Peiwei.,Shi, Yue.,Chen, Shuai.,...&Ma, Tian.(2025).Benefits of public awareness in mitigating cystic echinococcosis risk in Western China: A climate and socio-economic perspective.PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES,19(7),e0013182. |
| MLA | Yin, Fang,et al."Benefits of public awareness in mitigating cystic echinococcosis risk in Western China: A climate and socio-economic perspective".PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES 19.7(2025):e0013182. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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