Temporal and spatial variations in precipitation and the distribution of extreme precipitation events in the South China Sea based on GPM and CMIP6 data
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Yan, Jinfeng1; Niu, Xinbo1; Miao, Congcong1; Su, Fenzhen2 |
| 刊名 | CLIMATE DYNAMICS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-07-25 |
| 卷号 | 63期号:7页码:291 |
| 关键词 | Precipitation GPM CMIP6 South China Sea |
| ISSN号 | 0930-7575 |
| DOI | 10.1007/s00382-025-07788-4 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | The South China Sea is a vital water vapor channel that connects the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Changes in precipitation in the South China Sea profoundly impact regional and even global ecosystems. In the current context of global warming, extreme weather events are frequent. Studying the evolution characteristics of extreme precipitation in the South China Sea is of great practical significance and scientific value in guiding water resource management and responding to climate change. In this study, the coefficient of variation, extreme precipitation index, and Sen + MK trend analysis were used to analyze precipitation changes in the South China Sea region from 2001 to 2100-on the basis of GPM and CMIP6 data, and correlations between meteorological driving factors and annual precipitation were explored. Research results revealed that the annual precipitation in the South China Sea from 2001 to 2023 ranged from 400 to 6600 mm with an increasing trend from northwest to southeast. This phenomenon is jointly influenced by factors such as the monsoon system, the subtropical high-pressure system, geographical location, and land-sea thermal differences. The annual precipitation from 2024 to 2100 gradually increased, and the annual precipitation under the SSP2-4.5 scenario was generally greater than that under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, which indicated a complex nonlinear relationship between carbon emissions and precipitation. The temporal and spatial distributions of extreme precipitation events indicated that the value of the extreme precipitation index under the high-emission scenario was greater than that under the low-emission scenario and extreme precipitation events under the SSP5-8.5 scenario were more frequent and intense. The spatial difference in the precipitation mechanism in the South China Sea region is reflected in the precipitation in the northeast is driven mainly by the monsoon system, whereas in the southwest, it gradually transitions to control by local convection. This research provides an important basis for understanding precipitation changes in the South China Sea and offers theoretical support for predicting regional climate change and formulating response measures. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | TIBETAN PLATEAU ; HIGH-RESOLUTION ; SUMMER ; REGIONS |
| WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001536298400003 |
| 出版者 | SPRINGER |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/215515]  |
| 专题 | 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Yan, Jinfeng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Shandong Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Geodesy & Geomatics, Qingdao 266590, Peoples R China; 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yan, Jinfeng,Niu, Xinbo,Miao, Congcong,et al. Temporal and spatial variations in precipitation and the distribution of extreme precipitation events in the South China Sea based on GPM and CMIP6 data[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2025,63(7):291. |
| APA | Yan, Jinfeng,Niu, Xinbo,Miao, Congcong,&Su, Fenzhen.(2025).Temporal and spatial variations in precipitation and the distribution of extreme precipitation events in the South China Sea based on GPM and CMIP6 data.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,63(7),291. |
| MLA | Yan, Jinfeng,et al."Temporal and spatial variations in precipitation and the distribution of extreme precipitation events in the South China Sea based on GPM and CMIP6 data".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 63.7(2025):291. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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