Poisson means of stratified nonhomogeneity: a new method to predict spatial counts
文献类型:期刊论文
| 作者 | Shen, Fengbei1,3; Xu, Chengdong1,3; Wang, Jinfeng1,3; Hu, Maogui1,3; Hu, Yuehua2 |
| 刊名 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE
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| 出版日期 | 2025-07-24 |
| 卷号 | N/A |
| 关键词 | Poisson distribution spatial heterogeneity spatial statistics disease mapping |
| ISSN号 | 1365-8816 |
| DOI | 10.1080/13658816.2025.2536505 |
| 产权排序 | 1 |
| 文献子类 | Article ; Early Access |
| 英文摘要 | Spatial count data are a prevalent data type in natural and social sciences. As the data present complicated spatial autocorrelation and heterogeneity inherent in geographical analysis, the current methods lack a theoretical approach to model and predict counts, especially with limited spatial samples. To address the gap, this study develops a new method named Poisson Means of Stratified Nonhomogeneity (PoiMSN). The method considers both autocorrelation and heterogeneity but not covariates. Moreover, it incorporates local samples and out-stratum neighbors that traditional methods neglect to model and predict the latent process for data in a Poisson distribution. This study compares PoiMSN with Poisson geostatistics and traditional MSN and designs simulations to validate the model. PoiMSN outperforms the other models as it has the lowest mean absolute error and root-mean-squared error, and furthermore, at least 5% improvement in accuracy for autocorrelated and stratified Poisson data. The case study with hand, foot, and mouth disease data shows PoiMSN can precisely map the disease risks with lower uncertainty. PoiMSN has the ability to accommodate spatially non-stationary count data from autocorrelated and heterogeneous populations and leverage extensive sample information. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | RISK ; RATES |
| WOS研究方向 | Computer Science ; Geography ; Physical Geography ; Information Science & Library Science |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001536038800001 |
| 出版者 | TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/215664] ![]() |
| 专题 | 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Wang, Jinfeng |
| 作者单位 | 1.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing, Peoples R China; |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shen, Fengbei,Xu, Chengdong,Wang, Jinfeng,et al. Poisson means of stratified nonhomogeneity: a new method to predict spatial counts[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE,2025,N/A. |
| APA | Shen, Fengbei,Xu, Chengdong,Wang, Jinfeng,Hu, Maogui,&Hu, Yuehua.(2025).Poisson means of stratified nonhomogeneity: a new method to predict spatial counts.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE,N/A. |
| MLA | Shen, Fengbei,et al."Poisson means of stratified nonhomogeneity: a new method to predict spatial counts".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE N/A(2025). |
入库方式: OAI收割
来源:地理科学与资源研究所
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