The Threshold and Lag Effects of Temperature on Pine Wilt Disease Show Significant Spatial Heterogeneity
文献类型：期刊论文
| 作者 | Zhang, Ruicong1,2; Huang, Jixia2; Zhao, Xiaoting2; Liu, Yanqing2; Fang, Guofei3; Zhou, Yantao3; Hu, Maogui1 |
| 刊名 | INSECTS
 |
| 出版日期 | 2025-08-12 |
| 卷号 | 16期号:8页码:834 |
| 关键词 | pine wilt disease threshold effect lag effect DLNM |
| DOI | 10.3390/insects16080834 |
| 产权排序 | 2 |
| 文献子类 | Article |
| 英文摘要 | Pine wilt disease (PWD) is an economically important disease. With the increasing temperature caused by climate change, there is a concern that it may expand to regions currently at low risk, cause more serious ecological harm and economic losses in China. The pinewood nematode has an optimal temperature range for development, and historical meteorological conditions, particularly temperature, can influence its current occurrence through time-lagged effects. Lag effect is a temporally delayed effect. In order to investigate the threshold effect and lag effect of temperature on PWD, we collected province-level occurrence data in China and explored the threshold effect, lag effect, and spatial heterogeneity mechanism using a distributed lag non-linear model. The results show that temperature has a significant threshold effect and lag effect on PWD. The threshold temperatures and lag periods vary from 19.5 degrees C to 25.1 degrees C and from 1 to 3 months in different provinces in the study area. The threshold temperature shows significant spatial heterogeneity and is positively correlated with the average temperature. This study provides a theoretical basis for the prevention and control of PWD, as well as protection of forest ecological security. |
| URL标识 | 查看原文 |
| WOS关键词 | BURSAPHELENCHUS-XYLOPHILUS ; THUNBERGII ; PATTERNS ; NEMATODE ; RNA |
| WOS研究方向 | Entomology |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:001557691600001 |
| 出版者 | MDPI |
| 源URL | [http://ir.igsnrr.ac.cn/handle/311030/216161]  |
| 专题 | 资源与环境信息系统国家重点实验室_外文论文 |
| 通讯作者 | Huang, Jixia |
| 作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, State Key Lab Resources & Environm Informat Syst, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 2.Beijing Forestry Univ, Precis Forestry Lab Beijing, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China; 3.Natl Forestry & Grassland Adm, Ctr Biol Disaster Prevent & Control, Shenyang 110034, Peoples R China |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Ruicong,Huang, Jixia,Zhao, Xiaoting,et al. The Threshold and Lag Effects of Temperature on Pine Wilt Disease Show Significant Spatial Heterogeneity[J]. INSECTS,2025,16(8):834. |
| APA | Zhang, Ruicong.,Huang, Jixia.,Zhao, Xiaoting.,Liu, Yanqing.,Fang, Guofei.,...&Hu, Maogui.(2025).The Threshold and Lag Effects of Temperature on Pine Wilt Disease Show Significant Spatial Heterogeneity.INSECTS,16(8),834. |
| MLA | Zhang, Ruicong,et al."The Threshold and Lag Effects of Temperature on Pine Wilt Disease Show Significant Spatial Heterogeneity".INSECTS 16.8(2025):834. |
入库方式： OAI收割
来源：地理科学与资源研究所
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